Showing posts with label Walter Williams. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Walter Williams. Show all posts

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Rare Honesty On Social Security

I've written a number of posts on Social Security, because there are obvious fallacies about it that get repeated over and over again in the press.  Even professional economists will make ridiculous claims about the so-called 'trust fund', as if it's a great asset, ignoring the obvious fact that all government securities are a liability to taxpayers — including those purchased with surplus Social Security payroll deductions.

In one previous post I described all government social welfare programs (including Social Security) with the intentionally oxymoronic phrase 'forced charities', because such welfare programs must operate via coercion, given that governments can only provide to one individual what they have taken from another — whereas charity is voluntary.

If you recall the Bernie Madoff scandal, you know that Madoff made large sums of money defrauding wealthy investors with a Ponzi like investment scheme.  As with all Ponzi schemes, Madoff would pay some investors with the money he received from other investors — as long as new investors were opening accounts, Madoff could keep the fraud going.  Of course, with a private scheme of this kind, collapse is inevitable once the number of investors stops growing fast enough to make the necessary payouts.

In an attempt to restore victims of Madoff's fraud after it collapsed, courts have allowed the bankruptcy case trustee, Irving Picard, to 'clawback' some of the fictitious profits from Madoff's customers who withdrew more from their accounts than they invested.  Since Madoff investors with a positive return were paid with money Madoff received from other investors, rather than the returns from profitable investments, such investors had no right to keep those payments.

Note that a Social Security recipient is in an even worse position than a Madoff investor regarding a rightful claim to payment, in that they're also not paid from an account in their name that has earned a return over the years — they're paid by current workers — but their original investment can't even rightfully be returned, having long since been spent by government.  Social Security doesn't have vague similarities to a Ponzi scheme — it's identical in every respect.

In the case of Social Security, the government is Bernie Madoff, paying current retirees from the payroll deduction it receives from workers, and spending any money that is left over on whatever it wants, via the purchase of government bonds (the so-called trust fund) which puts the surplus in the government's general fund to be spent.

Here's a table from the 'CBO - An Update To The Budget And Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024', which shows that mandatory spending — which is dominated by Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid — accounts for about 60% of federal budget outlays.  Notice the budget deficit is projected to grow by over 40% (-$680B to -$960B) from 2013 to 2024.  There's no reasonable way to address that problem without making changes to those programs, including Social Security --

http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/45653-OutlookUpdate_2014_Aug.pdf
CBO's Baseline Budget Projections, An Update To The Budget And Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024


There are some lonely critics of Social Security out there, but what they write is largely met with anger from the public.

Here's Walter Williams, John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, talking about the 'uglier mail' he gets when he writes about problems with government programs for the elderly.  He points out here what a terrible deal Social Security is for future recipients --


Here's Robert Samuelson pointing out that Social Security meets the definition of a welfare program, because it taxes one group to pay another.  He wrote this column in reply to angry responses he received for describing Social Security as 'middle-class welfare' --

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/06/AR2011030602926_pf.html
Why Social Security is welfare
By Robert J. Samuelson | Monday, March 7, 2011;

In a recent column on the senior citizen lobby, I noted that Social Security is often "middle-class welfare" that bleeds the country. This offended many readers. In an e-mail, one snarled: "Social Security is not adding one penny to our national debt, you idiot." Others were more dignified: "Let's refrain from insulting individuals who have worked all their lives and contributed to the system for 50-plus years by insinuating that [their] earned benefits are welfare." Some argued that Social Security, with a $2.6 trillion trust fund, doesn't affect our budgetary predicament.

Wrong. As a rule, I don't use one column to comment on another. But I'm making an exception here because the issue is so important. Recall that Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, the main programs for the elderly, exceed 40 percent of federal spending. Exempting them from cuts - as polls indicate many Americans prefer - would ordain massive deficits, huge tax increases or draconian reductions in other programs. That's a disastrous formula for the future.

We don't call Social Security "welfare" because it's a pejorative term, and politicians don't want to offend. So their rhetoric classifies Social Security as something else when it isn't. Here is how I define a welfare program: First, it taxes one group to support another group, meaning it's pay-as-you-go and not a contributory scheme where people's own savings pay their later benefits. And second, Congress can constantly alter benefits, reflecting changing needs, economic conditions and politics. Social Security qualifies on both counts.

Let's start with its $2.6 trillion trust fund. Doesn't this prove that people's payroll taxes were saved to pay for future benefits, disconnecting them from our larger budget problems? Well, no. Since the 1940s, Social Security has been a pay-as-you-go program. Most benefits are paid by payroll taxes on today's workers; in 2010, those taxes covered 91 percent of benefits. The trust fund's $2.6 trillion would provide only 3.5 years of benefits, which totaled about $700 billion in 2010.

The trust fund serves mainly to funnel taxes to recipients, and today's big surplus is an accident, as Charles Blahous shows in his book "Social Security: The Unfinished Work." In 1983, when the trust fund was nearly exhausted, a presidential commission proposed fixes but underestimated their effects. The large surplus "just developed. It wasn't planned," the commission's executive director said later. Even so, the surplus will disappear as the number of retirees rises.

Similarly, Congress has repeatedly altered benefits. From 1950 to 1972, it increased them nine times, including a doubling in the early 1950s. In 1972, it indexed benefits to inflation. People didn't complain when benefits rose, but possible cuts now trigger howls that a "contract" is being broken. Not so. In a 1960 decision ( Flemming v. Nestor ), the Supreme Court expressly rejected the argument that people have a contractual right to Social Security. It cited the 1935 Social Security Act: "The right to alter, amend, or repeal any provision of this Act is hereby reserved to Congress." Congress can change the program whenever it wants.

All this makes Social Security "welfare." Benefits shift; they're not strictly proportionate to wages but are skewed to favor low-wage earners - a value judgment reflecting who most deserves help; and they aren't paid from workers' own "contributions." But we ignored these realities and encouraged people to think they "earned" benefits and that Social Security is distinct from the larger budget. Politicians, pundits, think-tank experts and journalists engaged in this charade to spare Social Security's 54 million recipients the discomfort of understanding they're on welfare.

A relatively small elderly population sustained these fictions. Now, this is no longer possible. Contrary to the Obama administration's posture, Social Security does affect our larger budget problem. Annual benefits already exceed payroll taxes. The gap will grow. The trust fund holds Treasury bonds; when these are redeemed, the needed cash can be raised only by borrowing, taxing or cutting other programs. The connection between Social Security and the rest of the budget is brutally direct. The arcane accounting of the trust fund obscures what's happening. Just as important, how we treat Social Security will affect how we treat Medicare and, to a lesser extent, Medicaid.

It is because these programs involve middle-class welfare that cuts could occur without inflicting widespread hardship. All the elderly aren't poor. In 2008, a quarter of families headed by someone 65 or older had incomes exceeding $75,000. No doubt people would be outraged. Having been misled, they'd feel cheated. They paid their taxes, why can't they get all their promised benefits? But the alternative is much worse: imposing all the burdens on younger taxpayers and cuts in other government programs. Shared sacrifice is meaningless if it excludes older Americans.


Here's Walter Williams also making some of the same points — that Social Security is welfare, and that there is no promise of a benefit — but he also points out that Congress has changed the description of Social Security over the years, which has helped to create the false belief among Americans that individual taxpayers have a Social Security 'account', when that is certainly not the case --

http://econfaculty.gmu.edu/wew/articles/13/CongressionallyDupedAmericans.htm
http://www.creators.com/conservative/walter-williams/congressionally-duped-americans.html
http://townhall.com/columnists/walterewilliams/2013/11/06/congressionally-duped-americans-n1736128/page/full

Congressionally Duped Americans

Walter E. Williams | Nov 06, 2013

Last week's column, "Is There a Way Out?", generated quite a few responses, some a bit angry. Some people were offended by my reference to Social Security and Medicare as entitlements or handouts. They said that they worked for 45 years and paid into Social Security and Medicare and how dare I refer to the money they now receive as an entitlement. These people have been duped by Congress and shouldn't be held totally accountable for such a belief. Let's examine the plethora of congressional Social Security lies. I'll leave the Medicare lies for another column.

The Social Security pamphlet of 1936 read, "Beginning November 24, 1936, the United States Government will set up a Social Security account for you. ... The checks will come to you as a right" (http://tinyurl.com/maskyul). Therefore, Americans have been led to believe that Social Security is like a retirement account and money placed in it is their property. The fact of the matter belies that belief.

A year after the Social Security Act's passage, it was challenged in the U.S. Supreme Court, in Helvering v. Davis. The court held that Social Security is not an insurance program, saying, "The proceeds of both employee and employer taxes are to be paid into the Treasury like any other internal revenue generally, and are not earmarked in any way." In a 1960 case, Flemming v. Nestor, the Supreme Court held, "To engraft upon the Social Security system a concept of 'accrued property rights' would deprive it of the flexibility and boldness in adjustment to ever-changing conditions which it demands."

Decades after Americans had been duped into thinking that the money taken from them was theirs, the Social Security Administration belatedly — and very quietly — tried to clean up its history of deception. Its website explains, "Entitlement to Social Security benefits is not (a) contractual right." It adds: "There has been a temptation throughout the program's history for some people to suppose that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them to a benefit in a legal, contractual sense.

... Congress clearly had no such limitation in mind when crafting the law" (http://tinyurl.com/49p8fl2). The Social Security Administration failed to mention that it was the SSA itself, along with Congress, that created the lie that "the checks will come to you as a right."

Here's my question to those who protest that their Social Security checks are not an entitlement or handouts: Seeing as Congress has not "set up a Social Security account for you" containing your Social Security and Medicare "contributions," where does the money you receive come from? I promise you it's neither Santa Claus nor the tooth fairy. The only way Congress can send checks to Social Security and Medicare recipients is to take the earnings of a person currently in the workforce. The way Congress conceals its Ponzi scheme is to dupe Social Security and Medicare recipients into thinking that it's their money that is put away and invested. Therefore, Social Security recipients want their monthly check and are oblivious about who has to pay and the pending economic calamity that awaits future generations because of the federal government's $100 trillion-plus unfunded liability, of which Social Security and Medicare are the major parts.

Pointing to the congressional lies and future economic chaos is not the same as calling for a cessation of checks going out to recipients. Instead, it's a call for the recognition that we've made a mistake that needs to be corrected while there's time to avoid a calamity. It's also a call for us to recognize that we all share in the blame and hence the burden to make it right. Politicians have little interest in doing something about an economic calamity that will happen in 2030 or 2040; they only care about the next election. Older Americans, who own most of the political clout, must lead the fight to get Congress to do something about entitlement programs. Of course, the alternative is continued belief in the Social Security and Medicare myth and the heck with future generations.


Saturday, December 13, 2014

Without An Argument, You Can Always Lie

Back in late 2003, Walter Williams was fooled by an urban legend, that many of his readers pointed out was false.  In a follow-up article, Williams explained what made the myth he was taken in by so believable.  The myth dealt with a person receiving a jury award for their own irresponsibility, which, as Williams pointed out in his response, is a fairly common occurrence today —
     http://econfaculty.gmu.edu/wew/articles/04/legend.html

Indeed, there was nothing outlandish about the jury award in the myth Williams described at the link above, since it was smaller than actual awards given by other juries in cases that were just as ridiculous — like the $2.86 million dollar award to Stella Liebeck, who spilled hot coffee on herself (that award was later settled out of court for a reduced, but undisclosed amount), or the $65 million dollar award for the death of Karen Norman, who drowned while drunk in the back seat of a Honda (an autopsy showed a blood alcohol level of  0.17), because she couldn't release her seat belt (that award was thrown out on appeal).

Here's a professor of economics at UC Berkeley, giving a positive reference to a post denouncing Walter Williams — as if the details of the myth that fooled Williams had no similarity to many other product liability jury awards in recent years, and the problem Williams was trying to describe is just an absurd fiction, completely without plausibility —
     http://delong.typepad.com/egregious_moderation/2009/10/walter-williams-the-fact-that-i-am-completely-wrong-is....html
     https://archive.is/KRE9m

Here's the actual post denouncing Williams --

http://www.balloon-juice.com/2009/06/01/the-fact-that-i-am-completely-wrong-is-just-more-proof-how-right-i-am/
https://archive.is/pHHQ8

This little anecdote, included in a list of “outrageous lawsuits,” just came to one of my email lists:
This year’s runaway First Place Stella Award winner was Mrs. Merv Grazinski of Oklahoma who purchased a new 32-foot Winnebago motor home. On her first trip home from an OU football game, she, having driven onto the freeway, set the cruise control at 70 mph and calmly left the driver’s seat to go to the back of the Winnebago to make herself a sandwich.

Not surprisingly, the motor home left the freeway, crashed and overturned.

Also not surprisingly, Mrs. Grazinski sued Winnebago for not putting in the owner’s manual that she couldn’t actually leave the driver’s seat while the cruise control was set. The Oklahoma jury awarded her, are you sitting down, $1,750,000 PLUS a new motor home. Winnebago actually changed their manuals as a result of this suit, just in case Mrs. Grazinski has any relatives who might also buy a motor home.
I thought the “PLUS a new motor home” was such a nice wingnutty touch to a long debunked tale, one that I even talked about in 2005, that I decided to check the intertrons to see if it was still flying around the tubes and found this old Walter Williams post that made me laugh out loud:
Literally hundreds of readers informed me that in last week’s column, “Some Things I Wonder About,” my reference to a Merv Grazinski of Oklahoma City — who set his 32-foot Winnebago on cruise control, left the driver’s seat to brew a cup of coffee, crashed, then sued Winnebago for not having a warning against the dangers of doing so and received a jury award of $1,750,000 plus a new motor home — was an urban legend and as such totally false.
My having fallen for this “urban legend” points to more due diligence to fact-checking. Without making any excuses whatsoever for my lapse in due diligence, let’s look at it.
Thirty, 40 or 50 years ago, no one in their right mind would have believed the Merv Grazinski urban legend possible, but not so today. Personal responsibility has taken a back seat in our increasingly immoral and litigious society. Consider some actual lawsuits researched at (www.overlawyered.com).
This is a particular example of wingnut argumentation that I find rather amusing, and it always takes the following form:

Sure, I’ve now learned that X is not actually happening, but the fact that I believed that X could be happening is not, as one would think, a commentary on my foolishness and gullibility, but rather it is a scathing indictment of our societal decline.

We need to come up with a fashionable name for this, and I’m sure you all have your own examples.


To make this description of what Williams wrote seem believable — 'I've now learned that X is not actually happening' — the author of that post must leave out the relevant examples Williams included to support his belief — the ones also described at www.overlawyered.com.  Of course, the 'X' here is frivolous lawsuits and absurd jury awards, and that Walter Williams (or anyone else) was fooled by a false description of such a case, is no indication that they are not actually happening, regardless of how much this writer would like to pretend.

What's amusing here is not that Walter Williams wrote an 'example of wingnut argumentation', as the post author put it, but that someone would just ignore the obvious and numerous examples Williams provided, and expect everyone else to be just as dishonest.  And it's sad, though not surprising, that a professor at a major university would help to fulfill that expectation.

To further undercut the absurd statement that 'X is not actually happening', consider the now infamous case mentioned above: 'Liebeck v. McDonald's'.

Back in 1992, a then 79 year old woman named Stella Liebeck was badly burned when she spilled a fresh cup of McDonald's coffee in her lap, while seated in the passenger seat of her grandson's car (which was parked).  Liebeck's attorneys successfully argued that the McDonald's requirement (at that time) to hold coffee at 180-190°F was inherently dangerous, and that coffee should never be served hotter than 140°F.

The problem with this argument is that, even if it were implemented, it wouldn't prevent burn injuries — it would reduce their severity, while still leaving people a grounds for bringing personal injury suits (maybe the attorneys thought of that).  The only way to eliminate the risk of burn injuries from hot beverages, is to prevent them from being served — which obviously no one would accept.

And notice that the 'National Coffee Association' recommends brewing coffee at around 200°F --

http://ncausa.org/i4a/pages/index.cfm?pageid=71

Water Temperature During Brewing

Your brewer should maintain a water temperature between 195 - 205 degrees Fahrenheit for optimal extraction.  Colder water will result in flat, underextracted coffee while water that is too hot will also cause a loss of quality in the taste of the coffee.  If you are brewing the coffee manually, let the water come to a full boil, but do not overboil. Turn off the heat source and allow the water to rest a minute before pouring it over the grounds.



And here's a recommendation from a former Starbucks manager that 180°F is the optimum temperature to serve coffee — more indication that the McDonald's temperature requirement was not unusual.  Coffee is served very hot, because people like it that way --

http://www.businessinsider.com/starbucks-drink-extra-hot-2013-12
Alecia Li Morgan worked at Starbucks for five years, first as a barista and later as a store manager.

"Back when I first started working at Starbucks, the acceptable range for beverage temperature was around 145-165 degrees," she wrote. "That's not really all that hot."

The perfect temperature for a coffee, she learned through extensive trial and error, is 180 degrees Fahrenheit.

Morgan offered these tips and tricks for when and how to order a drink "extra hot:"

1. When it's cold outside. "When I worked at Starbucks in North Dakota, the temperatures would reach -30F plus wind chill, so drinks cooled down QUICKLY if taken outside/ordered in a drive thru," Morgan wrote.

2. When you are ordering a milk-based drinks. Creamers, even when steamed, can cool down the temperature of a coffee. Tell the barista you want the milk steamed to 180 degrees, and it won't negatively affect the taste of the espresso or coffee.

3. When you don't plan to drink the coffee right away. If you want to enjoy your coffee at work but there's a convenient Starbucks location closer to home, ordering it extra hot will keep it warm during the commute.


Stella Liebeck's injuries were severe and tragic, but it makes no sense to make others pay for the risk she decided to take.

If this sounds too harsh, consider the case of 'McMahon v. Bunn Matic Corporation', which is almost identical to 'Liebeck v. McDonald's'.  This case came about because Angelina McMahon spilled a hot cup of coffee in her lap while in the passenger seat of a moving vehicle.  But unlike Liebeck's case, McMahon's case was dismissed.

Here's the closing paragraph from that verdict --

http://caselaw.findlaw.com/us-7th-circuit/1365042.html
     It is easy to sympathize with Angelina McMahon, severely injured by a common household beverage-and, for all we can see, without fault on her part.   Using the legal system to shift the costs of this injury to someone else may be attractive to the McMahons, but it would have bad consequences for coffee fanciers who like their beverage hot.   First-party health and accident insurance deals with injuries of the kind Angelina suffered without the high costs of adjudication, and without potential side effects such as lukewarm coffee.   We do not know whether the McMahons carried such insurance (directly or through an employer's health plan), but we are confident that Indiana law does not make Bunn and similar firms insurers through the tort system of the harms, even grievous ones, that are common to the human existence.

affirmed.

EASTERBROOK, Circuit Judge.


Many may wish to believe that Angelina McMahon was victimized by this court decision, but the simple truth is, the judge in this case refused to victimize others, for an accident that happened as a result of an activity that people routinely engage in with full consent, however risky.

Sunday, July 13, 2014

Seductive Blindness

Here's Walter Williams, John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, speaking at Villanova University in February 2012, on "The Legitimate Role of Government in a Free Society".


In his talk, Walter Williams emphasized that much government action is immoral, and would be considered criminal when practiced by private citizens.  For example, if you were to steal money from your neighbors in order to give to some charity, you would be charged with a crime, not celebrated because you were helping others with money you had stolen.  There's no practical difference between this example and government welfare -- the initiation of force doesn't magically become moral because a majority approves, and legalizes the immoral use of force via a political process.

Williams stated this in very clear terms in his talk -- here's a transcription of portions of the video --

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zT7dN4tNzvg
...
     The primary justification for the growth of government far beyond what the founders envisioned for us, is to promote fairness and justice.  Well that's a worthy goal, but at the same time we might ask: 'Well, what is fairness and justice?  What is the legitimate role of government in a free society?'
...
     Moral people cannot depend on legality alone to guide them.  That is because there are many things in this world that were and that are legal, but clearly immoral.  That is, slavery was legal.  Did that make it moral?  The Nazi persecution of the Jews, Stalinist purges, they were legal.  But did that make it moral?
    So the moral question that we're confronted with is: 'Is there a moral case for taking by force the property of one person and giving it to another to whom it does not belong?'  Now I have not come up with a moral case for that.
    What the government does, as I said earlier, you and I would get arrested for doing the same thing.  It's just the only difference between what the government does is when they take money they call it 'welfare' -- it's just a matter of legality.
    And so we have to ask ourselves the question: 'Should one person be forcibly used to serve the purposes of another?'  Is that moral?  'To forcibly use one person to serve the purposes of another?'  And I think it's immoral.
    Now before I go on, I think that if you find a fellow American in need, I think it is praiseworthy to help them out.  That is, it is laudable to help your fellow man out by reaching into your own pockets to help him out -- reaching into somebody else's pockets to help him out I think is worthy of condemnation, and it's despicable.
    Now, in a free society we want most, if not all, of our relationships to be voluntary, and we want to minimize involuntary exchange.
...
    I always like to say instead of voluntary exchange: I love seduction -- any kind of seduction.
...
   But what's the essence of seduction?  Seduction is when we proposition our fellow man in the following fashion: 'If you make me feel good, I'll make you feel good.'  Now let me give you some examples of that.  I walk into my grocer with $3 in my hand, and I proposition him, I say: 'If you make me feel good, and give me that gallon of milk, I'll make you feel good, and give you $3.'
    And if that exchange is transacted, he's better off, because he valued the $3 more than the milk, and I'm better off because I valued the milk more than the $3.  And we call that a positive sum game, where both parties are better off in their own estimation.
    Now I'm against rape.  What's the essence of rape, or involuntary exchange?  That occurs when we proposition our fellow man in the following fashion, we say to him: 'If you don't make me feel good, I'm going to make you feel bad.'  That's where I went into my grocer with a gun in my hand, and I say: 'If you don't make me feel good, and give me that gallon of milk, I'm going to make you feel bad, and blow your brains out.'  Clearly I benefit, but he loses.  And we call that a zero sum game.
    Now, by the way, you know a lot of people say: 'Williams you know, a lot of these things you complain about, represents that we are democracy, we're a majority, and a majority rules.'  Well, I tell them, I don't think gang rape is any better than individualized rape.  That is, just because you vote to rape somebody, doesn't make it right -- or a majority consensus does not establish morality.
    And by the way, the framers did not intend for us to be a democracy, did they?  No.  I mean, the word democracy is not found in any of our founding documents.  The framers of our nation had utter contempt for the idea of democracy, because they argued -- and you read the writings of James Madison and John Adams -- they said that democracy gives an aura of legitimacy to acts that otherwise would be deemed tyranny.
...
    Now, widespread private ownership and control of resources is consistent with seduction and the minimization of rape.  Widespread government ownership is consistent with rape maximization.  That is, the essence of our relationship with government is that, if we don't make them feel good, they're going to make us feel bad.
...


During his talk, Walter Williams repeatedly emphasized the moral aspect of being free from coercion, and the immorality of forcibly using another person to serve your purposes, and yet the first question from the audience was to question the morality of freedom, as if Williams didn't discuss it --

  " ... the very foundation of liberty rests in a central idea.  It has to do with interests, it involves self-interest, if you will, but that self-interest is always defined with a moral foundation.

[supposedly the questioner is quoting James Madison here] "Interest doesn't have any bearing, unless you qualify interest with every necessary moral ingredient."

... and that moral ingredient has to do with the idea of recognize other human beings as human beings and treating them as such, so there's a real positive moral component I think that's the basis of liberty in America, and I'm wondering if you would speak to that ..."


Well, what could Walter Williams say in response, other than repeat some of the things that he had just finished saying?  Given that Williams focused on the morality of freedom in his talk, he might have asked in response: "What do you think I've been talking about?"

This question is especially fascinating in a perverse way, since the "moral ingredient of recognizing other human beings as human beings and treating them as such", to quote the audience member again, was precisely what Williams was emphasizing in his talk as missing from government action.

To quote Williams again: "Widespread government ownership is consistent with rape maximization.  That is, the essence of our relationship with government is that, if we don't make them feel good, they're going to make us feel bad."

It was also fascinating that when Williams pointed out the long standing moral tradition that goes against common government actions that are viewed as perfectly acceptable today, the same audience member stated agreement.

Here's how Williams made the point --

For Christians among us, we should recognize that when God gave Moses the commandment 'Thou shalt not steal', I'm pretty sure he did not mean that thou shalt not steal, unless you got a majority vote in Congress.  And that's what we're doing -- we're taking by force what belongs to one person, and I don't consider that moral, at all.


You can hear the audience member who asked the original question respond: "I actually agree with you on that."

But then what motivated the original question?  If you agree that it's immoral to take by force, what 'moral ingredient' is missing from a defense of liberty that relies on that point?

There's a very interesting phenomenon on display here.  The first question from the audience member wasn't for some clarification or specific application from Williams of the principles he was describing -- she asked that he readdress the main point of his talk.  Her question implied a concern for the moral justification of liberty, but Williams repeatedly stressed the moral justification for liberty in his talk, so the act of posing the question treated that moral justification as unimportant and even meaningless.  Clearly, using one person to serve the purposes of another, as Williams put it, didn't resonate with her as a critical issue in defining liberty.

And so the audience member helps prove a point Williams makes earlier (at 00:16:00) --

For the last half century, free enterprise, and what it implies, has been under unrelenting attack in our country.  Americans from all walks of life, whether they realize it or not, have demonstrated a deep and abiding contempt for personal liberty, private property rights, and economic freedom.


In his talk, Williams used the term 'seduction' to describe individuals attempting to entice others to trade with them in a voluntary exchange in a free market, and there's also a seduction expressed in the attitude that so many share regarding freedom.

Whether it's open hostility for freedom, or the more subtle contempt expressed by the audience member in the question quoted above, there's an obvious seductive power on display in the desire of many individuals to initiate force as an expression of their own morality -- as if their desire alone gives them a special moral standing and importance, regardless of the violation of individual rights required by the expression of that desire, and the obvious destructive consequences that often follow.

See Thomas Sowell's book 'The Vision of the Anointed: Self-Congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy', for a detailed treatment of the phenomenon of visions on social policy being completely disconnected from reality.

Listening to the audience member pose her question quoted above, reminds me of this quote from the first page, of the first chapter, of 'The Vision of the Anointed', 'The Flattering Unction' --

In earlier eras as well, many individuals foresaw the self-destruction of their own civilizations, from the days of the Roman Empire to the eras of the Spanish, Ottoman, and other empires.  Yet that alone was not enough to change the course that was leading to ruin.  Today, despite free speech and the mass media, the prevailing social vision is dangerously close to sealing itself off from any discordant feedback from reality.


Given the complete disconnect between the audience member's question and the points Williams made in his speech, the audience member also did a good job of demonstrating the description Sowell gives in the quote above of a 'social vision dangerously close to sealing itself off from any discordant feedback from reality.'

And consider this telling statement from the audience member: '... there's a real positive moral component that's the basis of liberty in America'.

But liberty does not have a moral component -- liberty is the moral component of a civilized moral society that recognizes the right of individuals to be free from coercion.

Attempting to add a so-called moral component to the expression of the fundamental moral principle that individuals have the right to be free from coercion, can only mean one thing: reducing the freedom of some, and violating the moral principle.

Liberty is a state of being, and just like any other virtuous state, it can't be morally perfected -- refusing to initiate force is moral perfection in a social context.  Anything short of that perfection, can't properly be called liberty.

Now, many people will make the silly comment here that we infringe on the liberty of criminals to prevent crime, for example, and so no reasonable person expects liberty to be unconstrained.

But this is absurd -- criminals function as parasites, and survive by initiating force, and so depriving them of liberty is done in retaliation to protect the liberty of others -- not to constrain liberty.  All coercive criminal activity is a violation of liberty, and justifies retaliation.  The only proper constraint on the liberty of one individual, is the liberty of others.

During his talk, Williams repeatedly made the statement that it is immoral to forcibly use one person to serve the purposes of another -- of course, since it's a violation of their liberty.  It's contradictory to argue otherwise, since such force requires a subordination of one person to another, and a completely inconsistent definition of individual rights.

George Orwell's satirical tale against Stalin, 'Animal Farm', comes to mind here.  See 'Chapter X' --

ALL ANIMALS ARE EQUAL
BUT SOME ANIMALS ARE MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS 


Williams, among others, foresees the self-destruction of his own civilization, and has been giving a warning for many years, but who is even capable of listening, never mind acting on the warning, when so many are so seduced by blindly maintaining a pretense, that their particular initiation of force is moral, as long as they HOPE it will be helpful?


Here are some other highlights from Williams's speech --
  • Article 1, Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution enumerates the powers the founders gave to government.
  • The claim that the Constitution is a 'living document' makes it meaningless, since if the Constitution doesn't fix specific rules, government can't be limited by it.
  • The private property and free enterprise that the framers envisioned are mere skeletons of their past.
  • Taxes represent claims on private property.
  • Taxation and spending show government gaining ground and liberty yielding.
  • In 1902, expenditures at all levels of government (federal, state, and local) totaled $1.7 billion, and the average taxpayer that year paid $60 in federal, state, and local taxes.
  • From 1787 until 1920, federal expenditures were only 3% of GDP, except during wartime.
  • Today, federal expenditures alone are close  to $4 trillion, or 30% of GDP.  State and local governments spend close to $3 trillion.
  • The average taxpayer today (2012) pays $10,000 per year in federal, state, and local taxes.
  • This shows that as time goes by we own less and less of ourselves and the fruits of our labor.
  • Capitalism is defined as a system wherein individuals are free to pursue their own interests, so long as they don't violate the private property rights of others.
  • Much of the original intent of the U.S. Constitution as seen in the document itself, and the Federalist Papers that debated the Constitution, was to bring about a climate in which peaceable voluntary exchange could occur.
  • The legitimate functions of government in a free society are national defense, police, the adjudication of disputes (courts), and the provision of certain public goods (as an economist would define them).
  • In order for these legitimate and constitutionally mandated functions to be carried out, each citizen is obliged to pay his share of the federal government's expenses.
  • For the last half century, free enterprise, and what it implies, has been under unrelenting attack in our country.  Americans from all walks of life, whether they realize it or not, have demonstrated a deep and abiding contempt for personal liberty, private property rights, and economic freedom.

Sunday, June 22, 2014

Pretending the Rules of Arithmetic Don't Work (or The Perfect Issue for a Demagogue)

The widespread support for minimum wage laws is an interesting phenomenon, especially given the simple nature of the economics of this issue.

Almost everyone has heard of the 'Law of Demand', and anyone who has taken an introductory class in economics is taught this law: other things being equal, the quantity demanded of something is inversely related to its price.

But more than that, we all experience it directly, since it expresses an external constraint on human behavior, that everyone is unable to buy more of something as its price rises.

Here is the classic graph that shows the basic relationship between supply and demand.  The demand curve slopes down from left to right, indicating the inverse relationship between demand and price — everyone demands less as price rises.  The supply curve slopes up from left to right, indicating the direct relationship between supply and price — rising prices cause more of something to be produced, since the increasing price increases the reward for producing that something.


But why do we know the Law of Demand is true, and that the demand curve above must slope down to the right, indicating that price and quantity demanded are inversely related?  It certainly is not because some academics believe it (many do not — at least not consistently).  It is because it is impossible for it not to be true.

Why? Because the Law of Demand is restating an obvious fact of simple arithmetic, that when you perform a division, the result (or quotient) must get smaller as the divisor (or denominator) gets larger.  Even school age children learn fairly early that when you take larger pieces of something, there will not be as many pieces to go around.

In determining how much you can buy of anything, you divide the amount of money you have available to spend (what you have produced), by the unit price of whatever you would like to buy, like this:
                My Money / Unit Price = Quantity I Can Afford.

So when prices rise, the effect is to divide the money available for spending (the available production) into smaller quantities.  For example, it is pretty obvious that if your favorite hamburger cost $10, and you have $100 available from your pay each month to spend on hamburgers (after all other expenses), that the maximum quantity you can demand of those hamburgers is $100/$10 = 10 hamburgers.  If the price of those hamburgers doubles to $20, but your income does not change, then you can only buy $100/$20 = 5 hamburgers.

Obviously, there is nothing new here.  But it is important to point out that nothing is altered about this basic relationship by the complications of the modern day economy.  In essence, simple division explains why the Law of Demand must be true and universal, since if it were not, it would mean that the behavior of division must be inconsistent, behaving differently in different cases.

And note that quantities of money have nothing to do with it — using money as the measure of cost and productivity is just a convenience that everyone is familiar with.  Money, in this sense, is just a tool of exchange, and represents the value of labor (the value of your productivity).  If you were stranded on a deserted island, and you had to climb coconut trees to gather coconuts to survive, your daily demand for coconuts would be computed like this:
       Daily Working Hours / Average Hours to Get a Coconut = Daily Quantity of Coconuts.

And so if one day you jumped down from a tree while gathering coconuts, and you badly sprained your ankle on the landing, and the injury doubled the average amount of time it took you to gather a coconut, your demand for coconuts would be cut in half, just as it was for hamburgers in the previous example above, since in both cases the cost to you has doubled — nothing necessarily changed about the good you were trying to acquire, but your ability to produce it, or produce enough to trade for it, has decreased.

When viewed in this way, it is immediately obvious why demand is inversely related to price.  To say that the demand curve is flat, or that it sloped up to the right, would be to say that the quantity you could produce, was in now way affected by how long it took you to produce it — i.e. that you could acquire more of something, as the cost to you was increasing.

This is obviously impossible.

So, do you have to do a study to show that raising the minimum wage will reduce employment to the degree that individuals were earning less than the higher wage amount?

No, of course not, since if the minimum wage were raised above market rates, while there was no corresponding increase in the available capital to purchase labor, and unemployment did not increase, it would mean that the behavior of simple arithmetic changed, that the law of demand stopped working, and that employers could purchase just as much labor, as the cost was increasing.

That is, this same relationship holds:
        Money Available to Purchase Labor / Unit Cost of Labor = Quantity of Labor Purchased

Since the unit cost of labor is the divisor, increasing it in isolation must reduce the quantity of labor that can be employed. Even if employment went up after a minimum wage increase — which is still possible, depending on how far the new minimum is below prevailing wages — if there are any individuals who are not worth the new minimum, employment must still be less than it would have been without the minimum wage increase, since a minimum wage makes it uneconomical to hire those with skills that are worth less.  Increasing the cost of labor can only cause a decrease in employment, since the increase reduces the amount of labor that can be purchased.

Even if you believe that businesses can exploit individuals, and pay them far less than their labor is worth, raising the minimum does nothing to change that situation.  The obvious implication of this view is that businesses can simply charge their customers far more than it costs to produce something.  If this were true, raising the cost of labor would not eliminate that power — this belief implies that businesses can easily pass cost increases onto customers, since by assumption, they were charging well over their costs to begin with.  And so this means workers will just spend more on rising prices as a result of the wage increase, leaving them no better off — everyone will just be spending more, whether or not their income went up.

This is what is so comical about comments about how little prices would have to go up to support an increase in the minimum wage.  Here is a blog post regarding Senator Elizabeth Warren's (D-MA) comments on this issue back in March, 2013, that is titled as if Warren 'dismantled a right wing talking point' that is obviously false —

http://boldprogressives.org/2013/03/watch-elizabeth-warren-bat-down-right-wing-talking-points-about-the-minimum-wage/
http://archive.is/ARCPK
WARREN: During my Senate campaign, I ate a number 11 at McDonald’s many, many times a week. I know the price on that. $7.19. According to the data on the analysis of what would happen if we raised the minimum wage to $10.10 over three years, the price increase on that item would be about four cents. So instead of being $7.19 it would be $7.23. Are you telling me that’s unsustainable?


Again, if prices have to rise to compensate for the increase, will not workers making minimum wage be in exactly the same position as they were before the increase?  This is just inflation, that does nothing to improve anyone's living standard.

The minimum wage is such a useful issue for demagogues, because it plays into popular public biases.  Regardless of knowing how difficult it is to start a business, and regardless of knowing how many businesses fail, people still act as if there is no competition for labor, and that businesses can pay workers as little as they want.

Even many economists support minimum wage laws.  Here is a letter signed by over 600 economists in support of an increase to the Federal Minimum Wage --
   http://www.epi.org/minimum-wage-statement/
   https://archive.is/VDDtV

Here is an excellent article by Walter Williams, John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, where he points out the absurdity of supporting minimum wage laws as a way to fight poverty, since we could eliminate poverty everywhere, if this worked.  But he goes on to make the rarely heard point that minimum wage laws are discriminatory, and hurt minorities the most.  He gives the example of the openly racist South African Building Worker's Union, and its support for minimum wage laws for blacks, as a way to price them out of the labor market --
  http://www.fee.org/files/docLib/0703williams.pdf

Here is a recording of Walter Williams and Thomas Sowell discussing these issues with minimum wage laws —
   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4Ubp7U9Dq4

Here is another excellent article by Walter Williams on this issue.  His comparison of the law of demand with the law of gravity really highlights the absurdity of the disagreement among economists on this issue, since the law of demand is just as fundamental to the science of economics, as the law of gravity is to physics —
  http://walterewilliams.com/minimum-wage,-maximum-folly/

The disagreement among economists on the effects of minimum wage laws, would be like physicists being divided on the effects of gravity.

But since it is easier to support a popular bias, than explain why that bias is false, minimum wage laws will likely continue to get widespread support, despite that such laws only harm people.

Here is Elizabeth Warren again, pretending she is fighting for the underdog by supporting an increase in the minimum wage --
   http://archive.is/Ks5f3
   http://abcnews.go.com/Business/17-million-reasons-raise-minimum-wage/story?id=23054905
   http://archive.is/p7PgP

As they say, with friends like these ...