Showing posts with label unionization. Show all posts
Showing posts with label unionization. Show all posts

Friday, May 15, 2015

Pretending Employers Control Wages

Here's an article at Salon.com, from December 2013, entitled 'The “middle class” myth: Here’s why wages are really so low today', with the wildly promising subtitle: 'Want to understand the failures of the "free market" and the key to getting a decent wage? Here's the real story'
     http://www.salon.com/2013/12/30/the_middle_class_myth_heres_why_wages_are_really_so_low_today/
     https://archive.is/sVvSu

Not surprisingly, especially for an article dealing with the wages of low paid workers, the article does nothing to explain what it purports to, instead offering the trite rationalization that the decline of union participation is the root of every worker's problems.

This paragraph quoted below gives the main premise of the article, and is the only real substance the article contains.  The bulk of the article gives examples of various union employees who earned higher wages than similar non-unionized workers, as if that alone proves this premise --

http://www.salon.com/2013/12/30/the_middle_class_myth_heres_why_wages_are_really_so_low_today/
https://archive.is/sVvSu

The “middle class” myth: Here’s why wages are really so low today
EDWARD MCCLELLAND   MONDAY, DEC 30, 2013 10:00 AM PST
...
The argument given against paying a living wage in fast-food restaurants is that workers are paid according to their skills, and if the teenager cleaning the grease trap wants more money, he should get an education. Like most conservative arguments, it makes sense logically, but has little connection to economic reality. Workers are not simply paid according to their skills, they’re paid according to what they can negotiate with their employers. And in an era when only 6 percent of private-sector workers belong to a union, and when going on strike is almost certain to result in losing your job, low-skill workers have no negotiating power whatsoever.
...


The fallacy here is obvious — this statement from the author: 'they're paid according to what they can negotiate with their employers', is simply an assumption by the author that employers face no competition for workers, and can pay them as little as they choose, regardless of the value of their labor, unless the workers join a union.

Of course, it's obvious that in conditions of high unemployment, when there are often many applicants for the same job, an employer can sometimes fill positions for a very low wage, since job applicants that are having difficulty finding a job will be willing to accept a lower wage (it's better than nothing).  But how will joining a union in this situation give a job applicant more negotiating power?  As long as there are a large number of unemployed workers, even employed union members will have little bargaining power with employers, since every worker is more easily replaced when unemployment is high.

When there are many more job seekers than jobs, the majority of employers are not attempting to hire at all, and for those employers that are, the only way for applicants to be competitive is to be willing to accept a lower wage than other workers with the same skills.

Recall that in August 1981, former President Ronald Reagan refused to negotiate with the striking 'Professional Air Traffic Controllers Organization (PATCO)', citing the oath those employees took not to strike.  Over 11,000 air traffic controllers refused to return to their jobs and were replaced.  Here's Reagan reading a statement to the press on August 4, 1981, giving air traffic controllers 48 hours to return to their jobs —
     http://www.history.com/speeches/reagan-fires-striking-air-traffic-controllers

How one views Reagan's action isn't relevant here — the point is that being a member of the union did nothing to give the air traffic controllers more bargaining power.  They were replaceable because there were a large number of people who were willing and able to do their job without the pay increase the union was demanding.

And by definition, in periods of low unemployment there will be few (if any) applicants for a particular job, so in this situation the only choice employers have, if they wish to attract applicants, is to offer an above market wage.

But as much as people want to pretend that low-skilled workers can have high paying jobs — if they can just force an employer to pay them enough — there is no escaping the obvious fact that no one is willing to pay a lot for something that anyone can do.  And this is the root of this absurdity that labor unions can make low-skilled workers well off by increasing their negotiating power, rather than by increasing the value of their work to those who are willing to purchase it.

Since low-skilled workers can't produce anything of great value (hence the term, low-skill), they are worth very little to anyone looking to purchase their services — if such workers attempt to charge a high wage, while knowing that there are many others who can provide the same service, and possibly for less, such workers risk unemployment.  But ultimately, it is the prices that customers are willing to pay for a particular good or service that determines wages, rather than the greed or generosity of employers.

A labor union may be able to achieve above market wage rates for its members for some period of time (even years), but ultimately the end result is that the affected industries become less competitive, increasing the incentives to customers to switch to alternative products, or to companies that are able to eliminate the inefficiencies of union labor.

In that regard, consider this ironic quote from the same article quoted above regarding the loss of jobs in an industry that was traditionally unionized --

http://http://www.salon.com/2013/12/30/the_middle_class_myth_heres_why_wages_are_really_so_low_today/

...
The greatest victory of the anti-labor movement has not been in busting industries traditionally organized by unions. That’s unnecessary. Those jobs have disappeared as a result of automation and outsourcing to foreign countries. In the U.S., steel industry employment has declined from 521,000 in 1974 to 150,000 today.

“When I joined the company, it had 28,000 employees,” said George Ranney, a former executive at Inland Steel, an Indiana mill that was bought out by ArcelorMittal in 1998. “When I left, it had between 5,000 and 6,000. We were making the same amount of steel, 5 million tons a year, with higher quality and lower cost.”
...


It's strange that in an article praising the supposed benefits of labor unions, the author would acknowledge a productivity and quality increase that resulted from a massive elimination of union labor — and at the same time fail to acknowledge the role the union had in making the business less competitive, and the even more obvious point, that every business should be striving to eliminate such inefficiencies.

The author used the term 'anti-labor movement', as if there is some group of people that do nothing but attack labor, but in the most fundamental sense we are all anti-labor, because we are all trying to purchase the highest quality goods and services for the lowest possible price — and as demonstrated by ArcelorMittal, the steel company the author mentioned above, high quality at a low price isn't easily achieved with union labor.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Krugman: How 'The Man' Keeps You Down

Here's Paul Krugman in October, 2007, speaking at the Commonwealth Club of California, on the 'The Future of the Middle Class'  --   http://fora.tv/2007/10/30/Paul_Krugman_Future_of_the_Middle_Class

Here's a transcript of an excerpt from that talk, where Krugman makes the claim that the long downward trend in union membership in the United States has been caused by 'political forces' that made it acceptable to 'bust unions'.  Krugman compares the U.S. with Canada, where the level of union participation hasn't seen the same declines.

Krugman also compares teachers with hedge fund managers, as a way of showing how dramatic income inequality is present among professions with similar levels of education --

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kwA-CwFK5A
http://fora.tv/2007/10/30/Paul_Krugman_Future_of_the_Middle_Class
...
      In the 1960's Canada and the United States had roughly the same percentage of their workers in unions -- about 30% in both countries.  Today, Canada still has almost 30% of its workers in unions.  In the United States it's down to about 11%, and much less than that it's it's [sic], in the private sector -- it's heavily a public sector thing left.  So, the de-unionization was not something that happened because of the global economy, because Canada faces the same global economy we do -- it was something that happened here.
      And how did it happen?  Well, when you look into it closely you discover that it was ... political, basically Ronald Reagan, above all, though it started before him, declared open season for union busters.  During the 1980's, about 1 in every 20 workers who voted for a union was illegally fired.  And the reason ... sure, we're less of an industrial society, but there's no inherent reason why giant service sector companies -- you know, the iconic corporation of the 60's was General Motors, the iconic corporation of today is Walmart -- there's no inherent reason why those companies should not be unionized.  In fact, similar enterprises are in the rest of the world, but because the shift to a service economy took place in an environment in which politicians -- the dominant political forces -- said it was OK to bust unions, in the way that people had in the 1920's, we've had this dramatic decline in unionization in the United States.  And that in turn has all kinds of ramifications for the income distribution, so I can talk about it at some length, but there's a lot of reason to believe the politics has driven this dramatic increase in inequality -- sure technology is there, globalization is there, but it is very largely political.
      I should say one more thing, there is a view on inequality that you hear all the time, which is: 'well, it's all about the increased demand for skills, for education, in the modern world economy.'  You know, there's no doubt something to that, but if you actually look at the numbers, the huge growth in disparities has not been between the college educated and the non-college educated.  Yes -- people with college degrees have done better than people without, but most of the increase is among people with a lot of education.  So that -- the most dramatic statistic, high school teachers tend to have post-graduate degrees, and so do hedge fund managers.  And, as we all know, last year the highest paid hedge fund manager in the United States made an amount equal to the salaries of all 80,000 New York City school teachers for the next three years.  So, it is not education that is driving this.  It's not that simple.
...


Now consider this chart from the 'Center For Economic Policy And Research', from their 2012 study 'Protecting Fundamental Labor Rights: Lessons from Canada for the United States' --

http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/canada-2012-08.pdf



It looks pretty dramatic, doesn't it?  And it seems like Krugman is correct, since according to this chart the unionization rate in Canada has been oscillating around 30% (and higher), while the unionization rate in the U.S. has been in a relentless downtrend since about 1960.

But there's a problem with Krugman's seemingly obvious conclusion.

In the chart above, notice the increase in Canada's unionization rate that began in the mid 1960's.  Could something unique to Canada have happened at that time to explain that increase in unionization?

The answer is yes.  Canada's 'Medical Care Act' was passed in 1966, which created a government controlled universal healthcare system.  This made healthcare part of the public sector in Canada, and the unionization rate in healthcare and social assistance is among the highest of all industries in Canada.  Also, note that the 'Canadian Union of Public Employees', now Canada's largest union, which represents workers in health care (among other public sector industries), was formed in 1963.

Here's a chart from the 'Unionization 2011' study at 'Statistics Canda', showing Canadian unionization rates in various industries in 2011.  The overall public sector unionization rate in Canada is about 70%, and the unionization rate drops to below 10% for certain private sector industries, like 'Agriculture' and 'Technical'  --

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/75-001-x/2011004/article/11579-eng.pdf



So, unionization in Canadian is dominated by the public sector.

And looking at the rate of unionization over time in the private sector in Canada, we see a downtrend similar to that of the U.S.

Here are a couple of charts from the 'Center For Economic Policy And Research', from the same 2012 study cited above, 'Protecting Fundamental Labor Rights: Lessons from Canada for the United States'.  Notice that overall union participation in Canada is higher than in the U.S., but much of the difference is explained by the much higher unionization rate in the public sector in Canada.

As of 2011, the unionization rate in the private sector in Canada is still higher than in the U.S., but the difference is about 9%, versus about 18% when the overall unionization rates are compared --

http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/canada-2012-08.pdf



In short, Krugman's explanation for the downtrend in unionization in the U.S. as a result of 'political forces' and 'union busting', is clearly false.  Krugman singles out Ronald Reagan as being responsible 'above all', and he mentions illegal firings that supposedly happened in the 1980's, but union membership rates were steadily declining in the 1960's and 1970's, long before Reagan became President.

Krugman uses Canada as an example to demonstrate his claim, but other than the increase in unionization that happened in Canada as a result of its larger public sector, Canada and the U.S. display similar patterns.  From 1997 to 2011, Canada actually had a larger decrease in unionization in its private sector versus the U.S., directly contradicting Krugman's claim that a decline in union membership was specific to the U.S. as a result of so-called 'union busting'.

Here's a table, again from 'Protecting Fundamental Labor Rights: Lessons from Canada for the United States', showing changes in union membership rates in the U.S. and Canada, from 1981 to 2011.  Notice that from 1981 to 2004 the private sector union membership in the U.S. declined 1% more than in Canada, but from 1997 to 2011 the private sector union membership declined 3.1% more in Canada versus the U.S. --

http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/canada-2012-08.pdf



And, finally, Krugman's comparison of teachers to hedge fund managers is comically absurd.

Hedge funds typically handle billions of dollars of investor money, so they have an enormous responsibility in comparison with teachers.  Even given the importance of teaching, a hedge fund manager's skill has a direct and immediate impact on a fund's customers that can't be reasonably compared with a teacher's skill and responsibilities.  It isn't surprising that hedge fund managers earn incredibly large salaries in comparison with teachers, since what successful hedge fund managers do for their clients is immensely more valuable than what teachers do.

If you believe that being a hedge fund manager is an easy job with trivial responsibilities, you should enter the hedge fund field, and see if you can get investors to give you billions of dollars to manage.

And even if you could prove that hedge funds perform a worthless service, hedge fund clients pay the salaries of the fund managers from the investment profits those managers earn — so the only people that have a legitimate interest in the salary of a particular hedge fund manager, are that manager's investors.  Hedge funds typically have some version of what's called a 'two and twenty' arrangement, where investors pay some percentage of assets as a management fee (typically 2%), and some percentage of the profits the fund earns as an incentive fee (typically 20%).  So to earn an unusually high salary, and to keep clients, hedge fund managers must generate high returns for their investors.

But even if hedge fund managers could earn a high salary without performing well, their salaries would still be paid by their clients, and so the public at large has no legitimate concern in what they earn, because the public is not paying their salaries.  If you don't think what a hedge fund manager earns is fair, you can easily protect yourself by not investing with them.

This is certainly not the case with teachers.  Not only are taxpayers forced to pay the salaries of teachers, there is plenty of evidence to indicate that teachers don't perform well, and so deserve a low salary.

For example, consider this chart of SAT reading scores, from 1967 to 2011 --

http://www.humanitiesindicators.org/content/indicatorDoc.aspx?i=23



Or, consider this chart from a March, 2014 study, entitled 'State Education Trends', by Andrew Coulson of the Cato Institute — note that the 'Total Cost' line in this figure is adjusted for inflation --

http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa746.pdf



Notice that our government monopolized public education system has actually achieved negative productivity.  That is, every year more tax dollars are spent on education, with no improvement in the quality of the result, and sometimes a decline in the quality of the result.

The only thing that is not increasing in our public education system is student performance and enrollment.

No private company could perform this way and stay in business without forced government payments from taxpayers, and certainly no hedge fund manager could perform this way and retain clients.

There is often a good reason for income inequality, and many Krugman supporters also make this claim, when it suits them.  Too bad Krugman won't.