Showing posts with label Hillary Clinton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hillary Clinton. Show all posts

Monday, January 2, 2017

A Sam Harris Reader Praises The Ad Hominem


"The first thing a man will do for his ideals is lie."
    — Joseph A. Schumpeter, 'History of Economic Analysis (New York: Oxford University Press, 1954)', p. 43n

"In the flaring parks, in the taverns, in the hushed academies,
    your murmur will applaud the wisdom of a thousand quacks.
    For theirs is the kingdom."

    — Kenneth Fearing, from his poem 'Conclusion'


In previous posts, I wrote about some of the problems with Sam Harris's attacks on Donald Trump — in particular, Harris's attempt to pretend that his denunciations did not amount to an ad hominem fallacy, but rather were somehow a useful comparison between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/11/the-sam-harris-fail.html
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/11/goodbye-sam-harris.html
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/12/sam-harris-left-out-tears.html

Here is a post from one of Sam Harris's readers at the 'General Discussion' forum at Sam Harris's website, describing a supposed value in the use of the ad hominem fallacy.  It almost seems as if Sam Harris was channeling this reader's thoughts in his denunciations of Donald Trump, since Harris seemed to count more on the trust of his followers than on making a convincing case to those who did not already agree with him —

https://www.samharris.org/forum/viewthread/68551/
https://archive.is/VyQdU

Posted: 23 August 2016 11:35

I have been thinking lately about the possible value of ad-hominem argumentation. The use of ad-hominem argument is often taken to be a sign of irrationality. However, I tend to think that behaviors, institutions, etc. generally arise for a reason. Virtually everyone uses ad-hominem argument at times and I do not think the strategy would have been so universally adopted if it was irrational to adopt it.

Ad-hominem is certainly a logical fallacy so it is an example of a case where our actual behavior diverges from the rule of logic but that does not necessarily make it irrational. I think the use of ad-hominem argumentation is rational in a world where we have very limited access to information. Let’s say I want to form an opinion about the best policy to pursue in Syria. How would I go about making an informed decision about Syria?

Well, I could go to Syria myself and gather information. I could spend years interviewing the people, travelling the country, etc. but this would be extremely time consuming and there would still be information that I would not have access to (I would almost certainly not be invited to listen in on conversations between Assad and the members of his regime, for example).

I could also read books on the subject but here I run into a problem. If I travel to Syria myself I know I can trust the information I gather because I can trust my own eyes but when I am reading a book how do I know that the information I am getting is accurate? I cannot compare it to the original. When deciding what books to read (or articles) and what books to dismiss I need to make some decisions about who is trustworthy and who is not.

The same applies on a forum like this. People often make posts on a forum like this where they provide information that I have no easy way of checking for its accuracy. So, I need to make some decisions about who to trust, what information to accept, what information to treat as suspicious, and what information to dismiss entirely.

I think I probably follow lots of semi-conscious and unconscious rules when making a decision like this. If people seem very belligerent in expressing their views, or they cling intensely to one side of the political spectrum, I tend not to trust them. If someone has a subtle view that is not easily categorized I am more likely to trust them. Tone is quite important here.

However, another way I can reach a decision is: if someone who I already trust attacks the trustworthiness of someone I have not made a decision about yet (i.e. they make an ad-hominem argument). Absent any other information, this seems to me to be a perfectly reasonable way to decide who to trust.

I think “logical knock-down arguments” generally fail to sway us on their own because whether an argument is “logical” or not is not the most important question we face when attempting to reach a decision about something. The most important question we face is: Can I trust the information I am getting? and the personal characteristics of the person presenting the information absolutely is relevant to that question.

This is why the best way to win an argument is not to provide some knock-down argument but to convince people that the person you are arguing with is not trustworthy (and any signs that a person gives off that they are trustworthy or untrustworthy is generally more important to me than the content of their argument). So, unless we can find another solution to this problem, (i.e. an objective way to determine what information we should trust), I think ad-hominem is here to stay, and I think it serves a necessary function.

Thoughts?



Notice the absurd contradiction in the forum post quoted above — the author of this post writes that it can be useful for one to use a distracting, flawed form of argument (i.e. a fallacy) to convince others that an opponent is untrustworthy.

Only ignorant or untrustworthy people are manipulated or swayed, never mind convinced, by fallacies.  If you witnessed someone you initially trusted using any fallacy in an argument, why would you continue to trust them, and why would you expect them to be at all convincing to anyone else who had no experience with them?

Given that Sam Harris does not refrain from arguing this way, when it suits him, it should not be surprising to find this kind of perverse logic in a discussion post on Sam Harris's website.   Obviously, no writer, including Harris, is responsible for the ignorance (or wisdom) of his readers.   But if arguing without resorting to the use of fallacy is not one of a writer's principle concerns, then it should not be surprising that it is not a principle concern for that writer's core audience.  The post quoted above is a good example of the kind of like-mindedness one finds in approving followers — indeed, being like-minded is one of the main motivators for following anyone.

Obviously, being like-minded with another, in itself, is value neutral — it is not necessarily a denigration, since the value of a belief, if any, depends on its content (like the content of the belief that fallacy is useful).  And, of course, some will read bad writers as an exercise in studying illogic and destructive cultural trends (i.e. writers are often read precisely because they are bad (see my critical posts on Paul Krugman, for example)).

Also, notice the example used by the forum post author — the action to pursue in a foreign nation's civil war (i.e. Syria), which, by necessity, requires the use of forced tax collections.  The author of the post makes an excellent case for why such foreign policy actions are usually a fools errand in practical terms, and have a track record of some level of failure (Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc.), given that it can be impossible to get the information required to determine if any course of action has even a remote possibility of being helpful.  People who have no access to even a substantial portion of the relevant information (which is to say, everyone not in the country and involved directly (and even most of them)) obviously have no chance of making an informed decision, and the use of fallacy from an individual that they admire (but probably should not), will not make their decision informed — it just adds another fallacy to the mix, the 'appeal to authority'.

And, again, the author of the post is making the recommendation to consider the value of distracting and irrelevant statements — that is, a personal attack (i.e. an ad hominem) that does not bear on the position under consideration, as some kind of aid in sorting it all out, to help deal with a lack of information.

The much more serious moral issue of invading a foreign country to intervene in a civil war, using the forced tax collections from citizens who have no stake in the outcome (other than the vague hope that any innocents can escape harm), is not mentioned by the author of the post .  The supposed 'value' of a fallacious argument — even if you agree with that questionable premise — is a trivial absurdity by comparison.

The unstated implication of this terrible example is very telling too, since it also fits perfectly with statements Sam Harris has made, which take it for granted that the state has complete freedom to dispose of the lives and labor of its citizens.

Like this example from Sam Harris's podcast from October 26, 2016

https://youtu.be/bcWmpHsszbg?t=4910   (segment begins at 1:21:50)
. . .
Sam Harris: "... To take the point I just raised about the progress of technology, clearly, at a certain point, once we arrive at the actual end of human drudgery — I mean, when you have, when you have, self-driving cars, and not only is there no need for ape-driven cars, you would have to be irresponsible to let an ape drive a car, because they are so much worse at it, right?  It'll be illegal to drive your own car, and it should be, because right now, 30,000 people, or 35,000 people die every year reliably, because of how bad we are at driving cars.  So, at a certain point, the machines are going to steal jobs that aren't coming back, and we have to break this connection, this, this, pseudo-ethical connection between work and having a claim on your own survival in society, right?  So the idea that if you don't work, you shouldn't be able to eat, which is where a lot of people, you know ironically, a lot of the people who would vote for Trump, or who will vote for Trump, are people who look across the way at, you know, their shiftless neighbor and think, if you don't work for it, you don't deserve anything.  I don't want any of my tax dollars going to support your shiftless lifestyle.  Well, at a certain point, I mean, it's an understandable way of thinking, but at a certain point, we will arrive in a world where, again, only if we play our cards right, we'll arrive in a world where there is so much wealth, and so much automation of boring jobs, that there will not be enough productive things to do, and we'll be left with just creative and fun things to do, and people will still have to be paid for that."

Andrew Sullivan: "No, the trouble is that not everybody is capable of being creative."

Sam Harris: "Right.  So you need a universal basic income, or you need something that, you need a safety net that get's better and better and better the more wealth gets created.
. . .


Notice how Sam Harris drops the critical issue in his choice of words regarding a 'universal basic income' — that a third party decision-maker must initiate force to provide unearned income to one person at the expense of another.  And who gets to decide who works and who doesn't, and how long do you think it will take for a Stalin or Pol Pot like figure to take the job of deciding, and do you think society will be more, or less productive when everyone is promised an income from someone else, even if they do not work?   With an endless stream of scandals and human rights violations emanating from world governments, giving governments even more power is still the only recommendation that many people will make regarding improving the human condition.

And, of course, there is no 'pseudo-ethical connection between work and having a claim on your own survival in society'.   There is a very real ethical connection between your supposed desire to help people, and your willingness to initiate force against others to do so — the ethical connection is that an initiation of force makes you immoral.   The critical point is not, as Sam Harris seems to think, that the principle ethical issue regarding work is that you support yourself — that is conditional (if you are able to work, it is your responsibility).   The critical point is that you do not use a political process to force others to work for you, so that if you do not, or cannot, support yourself, you must rely on charity from others for your support — that is, you must rely on the free choice of others.

Some people may 'look across the way at, their shiftless neighbor and think, if you don't work for it, you don't deserve anything', as Sam Harris put it, though it is just as likely that they think 'others do not deserve what I worked for, unless I willingly give it to them.

That is, this is a choice for the individual who worked to produce the wealth, and not those individuals who may want to steal it (it is theft, if it was not given by choice, regardless of the intent) — or, as in Sam Harris's case, the individuals who wish to engage in moral preening by pretending their demand for an initiation of force is what is helping others, rather than the productivity of those individuals whose wealth they plan to steal.

Sam Harris's statement in the quote above is the essence of why society is so divided — at least half of the people (or perhaps many more) think that they are justified in subjugating others for any goal that has even the vaguest hint of supposedly being compassionate.  The mythical Trump supporter Harris denigrates is not the problem for wanting to be left alone, or perhaps for wanting to help only those who they feel deserve their help (how dare they) — the problem is all of the dishonest people who think, like Sam Harris, that the individual lives of an entire society are their play thing, and that they are free to dispose of them to satisfy their moral pretensions.

In the forum post quoted previously, the same pattern is displayed — the more important moral issue of initiating force to support an intervention in a foreign civil war is simply ignored, as if it has long since been settled and is not worth even being questioned.

Oh, but let us discuss the supposed value of our chosen authority making insulting comments as a way of making those who disagree with their position look untrustworthy.   ... sigh ...

In closing, here is a portion of Ayn Rand's essay 'Collectivized Ethics' — I repeat this often, since it is so applicable to this repetitious pattern of ignoring individual rights in people's attempt to grasp at pretending they are a social benefactor --

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OvL1_89QDs
http://www.aynrand.org/novels/virtue-of-selfishness
...
Since nature does not guarantee automatic security, success and survival to any human being, it is only the dictatorial presumptuousness and the moral cannibalism of the altruist-collectivist code that permits a man to suppose (or idly to daydream) that he can somehow guarantee such security to some men at the expense of others.

If a man speculates on what “society” should do for the poor, he accepts thereby the collectivist premise that men’s lives belong to society and that he, as a member of society, has the right to dispose of them, to set their goals or to plan the “distribution” of their efforts.

This is the psychological confession implied in such questions and in many issues of the same kind.

At best, it reveals a man’s psycho-epistemological chaos; it reveals a fallacy which may be termed “the fallacy of the frozen abstraction” and which consists of substituting some one particular concrete for the wider abstract class to which it belongs—in this case, substituting a specific ethics (altruism) for the wider abstraction of “ethics.”  Thus, a man may reject the theory of altruism and assert that he has accepted a rational code—but, failing to integrate his ideas, he continues unthinkingly to approach ethical questions in terms established by altruism.

More often, however, that psychological confession reveals a deeper evil: it reveals the enormity of the extent to which altruism erodes men’s capacity to grasp the concept of rights or the value of an individual life; it reveals a mind from which the reality of a human being has been wiped out.

Humility and presumptuousness are always two sides of the same premise, and always share the task of filling the space vacated by self-esteem in a collectivized mentality.  The man who is willing to serve as the means to the ends of others, will necessarily regard others as the means to his ends.  The more neurotic he is or the more conscientious in the practice of altruism (and these two aspects of his psychology will act reciprocally to reinforce each other), the more he will tend to devise schemes “for the good of mankind” or of “society” or of “the public” or of “future generations” —or of anything except actual human beings.

Hence the appalling recklessness with which men propose, discuss and accept “humanitarian” projects which are to be imposed by political means, that is, by force, on an unlimited number of human beings.  If, according to collectivist caricatures, the greedy rich indulged in profligate material luxury, on the premise of “price no object”—then the social progress brought by today’s collectivized mentalities consists of indulging in altruistic political planning, on the premise of “human lives no object.”

The hallmark of such mentalities is the advocacy of some grand scale public goal, without regard to context, costs or means.  Out of context, such a goal can usually be shown to be desirable; it has to be public, because the costs are not to be earned, but to be expropriated; and a dense patch of venomous fog has to shroud the issue of means—because the means are to be human lives.

“Medicare” is an example of such a project.  “Isn’t it desirable that the aged should have medical care in times of illness?” its advocates clamor.  Considered out of context, the answer would be: yes, it is desirable.  Who would have a reason to say no?  And it is at this point that the mental processes of a collectivized brain are cut off; the rest is fog.  Only the desire remains in his sight—it’s the good, isn’t it?—it’s not for myself, it’s for others, it’s for the public, for a helpless, ailing public ... The fog hides such facts as the enslavement and, therefore, the destruction of medical science, the regimentation and disintegration of all medical practice, and the sacrifice of the professional integrity, the freedom, the careers, the ambitions, the achievements, the happiness, the lives of the very men who are to provide that “desirable” goal—the doctors.

After centuries of civilization, most men—with the exception of criminals—have learned that the above mental attitude is neither practical nor moral in their private lives and may not be applied to the achievement of their private goals.  There would be no controversy about the moral character of some young hoodlum who declared: “Isn’t it desirable to have a yacht, to live in a penthouse and to drink champagne?”—and stubbornly refused to consider the fact that he had robbed a bank and killed two guards to achieve that “desirable” goal.

There is no moral difference between these two examples; the number of beneficiaries does not change the nature of the action, it merely increases the number of victims.  In fact, the private hoodlum has a slight edge of moral superiority: he has no power to devastate an entire nation and his victims are not legally disarmed.

It is men’s views of their public or political existence that the collectivized ethics of altruism has protected from the march of civilization and has preserved as a reservoir, a wildlife sanctuary, ruled by the mores of prehistorical savagery.  If men have grasped some faint glimmer of respect for individual rights in their private dealings with one another, that glimmer vanishes when they turn to public issues—and what leaps into the political arena is a caveman who can’t conceive of any reason why the tribe may not bash in the skull of any individual if it so desires.
...


Sunday, November 20, 2016

Goodbye Sam Harris


"The first thing a man will do for his ideals is lie."
    — Joseph A. Schumpeter, 'History of Economic Analysis (New York: Oxford University Press, 1954)', p. 43n

"When analyzing fallacies, I have thought it still less advisable to mention particular names than in giving credit.  To do so would have required special justice to each writer criticized, with exact quotations, account taken of the particular emphasis he places on this point or that, the qualifications he makes, his personal ambiguities, inconsistencies, and so on."
    — Henry Hazlitt, 'Economics In One Lesson (New York: Harper & Brothers Publishers, 1946)', p. 11, Preface


In a previous post, I wrote about some of the problems with Sam Harris's attacks on Donald Trump —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/11/the-sam-harris-fail.html

I've offered no defense of Trump (in that post or any other) — I simply pointed out that Sam Harris's attack on Trump is an ad hominem fallacy, despite Harris's repeated denial of this obvious criticism.

In a podcast from October 26, 2016, Sam Harris complained at length regarding the numerous criticisms he has received for his attacks on Trump, even discussing the ad hominem, and why any uses of that fallacy in an argument are rightly despised.

Here is a partial transcript of that podcast, where Harris attempts to address the most common criticism he has received for his attack on Trump —

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-lesser-evil
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcWmpHsszbg&t=4m3s   (segment begins at 4:03)
. . .
Now, this brings me to the most frequent criticism I've heard.  And this is yet another example of a catchphrase of sorts, distorting people's thinking.  What I've now heard more times than I can count, is some variant of the following:
'You used to be such a careful thinker, but when you talk about Trump, all you produce are ad hominems.  This shows that you are arguing from pure emotion, not reason.'
Again, I've received that every conceivable way.   You know, people have made videos on that point,   I've got   e-mails, every comment thread I've seen has got some version of this.  Um, OK.  The ad hominem fallacy — 'ad hominem' means 'to the man'.  One commits this fallacy, when rather than address an argument, or an idea, you merely attack its source.  And this technique, if we can call it that, is rightly despised.  It's not a valid form of argumentation.

For instance, when Donald Trump says that 'we shouldn't let Muslims into the country, because of the risk of terrorism', it is ad hominem to say 'Donald Trump is a bigot', full stop.  As though that were an adequate response to the policy argument.  Whether or not he is a bigot, is irrelevant to the question of whether it's wise or necessary to attempt to keep Muslims out of the country.  If you want to argue against that, as I have, you need to say things like: 'it's impractical, or it's impossible, you know many of these people come from countries in Europe, for instance, just where and how are you going to apply a religious test to people from England, and France, and Germany.  Or that it's needlessly inflammatory, and will prove counterproductive.  Or that you'd be keeping out the very allies you need in your fight against extremism.   Or that this would violate some deeper value, like the value of helping kids who are being pulverized in a civil war, through no fault of their own.

You have to say something that deals with the claim.  And so it is with any policy position, he or anyone else might articulate.  And I've done that — so far as Trump has said anything concrete, and not immediately self-contradictory about what he intends to do, I have addressed those issues.  But what I have mainly been talking about, is whether or not Trump should be President.  And whether or not he's a bigot, is relevant to that question.  Many of his qualities as a person, and certainly most of his intellectual and moral qualities, are relevant to that question.

So, when I say of Trump, that he shouldn't be President, because he's dangerously uniformed, and, even in many respects, unintelligent — and he's a pathological liar, not an ordinary liar, but a liar of a sort you'd expect to meet only in a mental hospital — and that he's a deeply unethical person, one who is actually famous for treating people terribly — and that he's an anti-intellectual, someone who has no respect for real knowledge, much less the life of the mind — someone, for instance, who could perpetrate a fraud like Trump University, and not want to kill himself out of shame — and that he's a sexual predator, not merely married to one — and, yes, that he is very likely also a bigot — and that he is above all a bully and a con man, an obvious con man, the most obvious con man I have ever seen in public life.  None of this is an example of an ad hominem fallacy.  I've argued that giving Donald Trump more responsibility than any person on earth, is a bad idea because of who he is, because of the bad qualities he has in spades, and because of the good ones he so obviously lacks.
. . .


That almost sounds good, until you remember that the title of Sam Harris's podcast quoted above is 'The Lesser Evil'.  And in the context of demonstrating that one candidate is the worst of two, even if you can prove that one candidate is a 'pathological liar', as Harris claims regarding Trump, you must also prove the other candidate does not lie, or, at a minimum, has been less destructive in their lying — that is, you must perform a thorough comparison of the actions of the two candidates, and the outcomes those kinds of actions will most likely lead to in the future.

This is a very tall order, and both Sam Harris and Andrew Sullivan fail in their attempt to do this in Harris's podcast — that is, they avoid the critical effort in their discussion, by failing to perform a comparison of the most likely outcomes based on the past actions of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.  Harris's and Sullivan's denunciations do not contain an argument, and are useless in doing an honest and meaningful comparison of Trump and Hillary.

Denouncing a Presidential candidate, based on your subjective view of his character flaws is fine — but it is a pure ad hominem fallacy as part of an argument that his actions are worse than another's.  The comparison of action is critical in demonstrating that a particular candidate is the lesser of anything — whereas Harris and Sullivan only provide a subjective denunciation and the insistence that one of the two is dramatically worse.

Andrew Sullivan is actually comical in this regard.  Near the end of Harris's podcast, Harris attempts to get more detail from Sullivan on why Trump really is the greater evil, and Sullivan goes on in melodramatic and hyperbolic terms about how a Trump presidency will end U.S. democracy, while making no attempt to demonstrate any of his apocalyptic claims, and of course, a dismissal of where Obama and Hillary Clinton have behaved similarly, just as when Harris dismissed the corruption revealed by the Podesta e-mails as just 'how the sausage get's made'

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcWmpHsszbg&t=54m42s   (segment begins at 54:42)
. . .
Sam Harris: "... Like the Wikileaks e-mails, my reading of them thus far, is that there is really not much there that is surprising.  I mean, like, how did you think the sausage was getting made, and what did you think the private communications in a campaign would look like?  Right?  I mean there are things there that we wish wouldn't be there, we wish people wouldn't operate this way, but there's nothing there that I've seen that is fundamentally shocking, or that tells us something we don't know, or didn't know, or that would be disqualifying to her candidacy."

Andrew Sullivan: "No, I agree.  What's shocking however, is that people's private correspondence can be hacked and delivered this way.  And I think the ability for politics to function at all, for government to function at all does require some lack of transparency.  Any organization has to have something that's private, so that it can actually function."

Sam Harris: "But that is sort of a point in her favor.  The Trump phenomenon is also a point in her favor.  To go back to the comment you made a few minutes ago, that one of the things that is odious about her is that she believes you have to have a public and private conversation which are distinct, because the people can't handle the truth.  There's so little appetite, or ability, for honest reasoning that people will seize upon your words, like the way she was using the phrase 'open borders' in context, as opposed to the way those words can be made to seem, and you'll never become President, or you'll never achieve the office you're seeking, because people are stupid and cynical, and the truth will be used against you, so you have to focus group everything.
. . .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcWmpHsszbg&t=110m45s   (segment begins at 1:50:45)
. . .
Sam Harris: "So just to put a fine point on this, because given all of the heinous things we have said about the Clintons, and Hillary in particular, why does it matter that she be in charge, as opposed to him?  I mean when you just imagine going forward in dealing with Russia or China, or the problem of jihadism, or anything else, any other challenge we're going to face, why do you feel that there really is a difference here worth caring about?  Because many people think, they're both liars, they both, you know, her husband is a rapist, he's a rapist, at the very least they're both trailing accusations of rape.  There is ugliness on both sides."

Andrew Sullivan: "Because he uniquely threatens our entire political system, from within, and he uniquely threatens global stability in a way that no president, no candidate for president, has ever done in this country.  Just because we haven't been here before, there is this amazing complacency about what can happen in a democracy.  And if you've read history, and you see this happening, it's textbook for how democracies perish.  It, it is incredibly dangerous, at a level completely outside any previous candidate for the presidency, uh, outside anything in American history, short of the 1860s."

Sam Harris: "But spell that out a little more — it's outside any precedent with respect to ... "

Andrew Sullivan: "To the basic rules of liberal democracy, the basic core constructing ideas that make us the West.

Sam Harris: "But .. I mean, it's, it's outside any precedent in terms of his disrespect for the institutions, and his complete unawareness of what's going on in the world.  I mean he's an ignoramus, and a narcissistic bully, who just wants to crash through every impediment he finds, and many of those impediments are our democratic system."

Andrew Sullivan: "Yes, and we've seen for example, that this so powerful in him, that he will continue to do this even though it sabotages himself.  So, a man, if he were to be president, we would be the people he would be sabotaging.  Our society would be what he would be casting asunder.  We would be yanked to and fro towards escalating conflict, internally and internationally in a way that we have never been before. This country would be torn apart, their would be violence in the streets.
. . .


In short, Harris's criticism of Trump is an ad hominem fallacy, because his denunciations in no way demonstrate the greater evil.  With respect to the claim of a greater evil, it is absolutely irrelevant that Trump is a 'pathological liar', or any other of the negative traits Sam Harris assigns — even if all of Harris's accusations regarding Trump are absolutely true, it does nothing to show that Hillary Clinton is superior in any of the same respects.

Let's be clear — the problem here has little to do with Harris's denunciations of Trump.  The problem is that Harris expects readers and listeners to accept his adjective laden invective and analogy as some kind of scientific proof.

Paraphrasing Harris: 'Trump is a pathological liar such as the type you would find in a mental hospital — Trump has no respect for real knowledge — Trump has a thought process resembling a deflating balloon running chaotically in all directions — Trump's Presidential bid is akin to a five foot obese man thinking he rightly belongs on a basketball team.', etc.  Well, this is colorful language, but it reveals much more about what Sam Harris thinks is an appropriate way to critique someone, than it reveals about Donald Trump.

Notice the quote from Henry Hazlitt at the top of this blog post, regarding the special requirements to treat an individual fairly, if you wished to criticize them for repeating a particular fallacy — do you think Sam Harris has met this standard in his denunciations of Trump?  As I pointed out in my previous post, Harris took no pains to represent Trump accurately — just as he did not in the quotes below, from his podcast on November 10, 2016, where he stated that Trump recommended nuclear proliferation.

For just one example, think about what it would take to prove someone is a 'pathological liar', as Harris claims of Trump — it is not enough to merely show them lying, you have to show that they lie compulsively, as a matter of habit.

In this post, I called Hillary a liar (in the title), because I'm convinced that the 13 minute video I included showing her lying, is ample proof of at least that much
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/08/lying-about-hillary-clintons-lies.html

Hillary does seem pathological to me, because she repeatedly makes false statements.   But notice that I did not make the accusation that Hillary is pathological, because it is just my subjective opinion, and, even more, I know that the 13 minute video I included does not demonstrate that she is pathological — it only demonstrates that Hillary lies repeatedly.  If Sam Harris provided even remotely the same evidence to justify his denunciations of Trump, I might believe him — whereas, now I just see Harris as attempting to rationalize an obvious bias.

Sam Harris, 'pathological liar' ad hominem


https://twitter.com/SamHarrisOrg/status/796025058422452224




Here is a Sam Harris tweet from October 16, 2016, where Sam again insists that his denunciations are not an ad hominem, because he was attempting to show that Trump is the 'greater evil'.  If you think Harris made an effective comparison between Trump and Hillary, as many of his readers seem to, then you accept this claim.  But again, attacks on an individual do not constitute a comparison, and a comparison is required to justify any claim of greater or lesser.  Calling someone a 'pathological liar', or 'a narcissist', or 'a bully', or a whatever, etc., neither proves those accusations, nor demonstrates that the subject possesses those qualities to any greater degree than anyone else —

https://twitter.com/SamHarrisOrg/status/787746752761765890




Here is a transcript of Sam Harris's podcast from November 10, 2016, entitled 'The Most Powerful Clown'.  Again, it is primarily emotional invective, and reflects more on Sam Harris's character than on Trump's.  I added a few comments, to point out some (but by no means all) of the falsehoods in Harris's statements, to show that if you are inclined to believe that Sam Harris does not misrepresent others when it suites him, you would be wrong —

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-most-powerful-clown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wthdOF32VKQ

The Most Powerful Clown
Sam Harris   NOV 10, 2016
Well it has come to pass.  President Trump.  A man who many of us treated as a buffoon, and only took seriously as a threat at the eleventh hour, will be the 45th President of the United States.  With a Republican Congress behind him, and with at least one vacancy, probably more, on the Supreme Court, to fill.  Sooo, what went wrong? And, how bad is this?

Well, I think there are two parts to this story.  The first is unambiguously depressing.  And ... this is the part that has been seized on by most Liberals.  But it’s only half the story, and it is this; Trump has ascended to power despite showing every sign of being dangerously unfit for it.  And by exposing in himself, and in the electorate the worst that America has to offer.  Racism, sexism, anti-semitism, a contempt for the most vulnerable among us, intimations of fascism, a positive love of bullying, total disdain for our democratic institutions, a willingness to make threats of political violence, just for the fun of it, a contempt for science, and a love of conspiracy theories.  I mean I can run through it all again, the crazy things he said and the toxic alliances he’s made.  The irony is if he had been merely half as bad, he would have seemed worse.  He would have been more recognizably dangerous.  There were so many awful moments, that the media couldn’t focus on them for long enough or weigh their significance.  And the big things were as big as they get, right, “climate change is a hoax”, “why can’t we use our nuclear weapons?”, “maybe nuclear proliferation is a good thing?”, “let the Saudis, and the Japanese, and the South Koreans build their own nukes”, “who’s to say we should support our NATO alliances, what have they done for us?”, “Putin is a great leader”, “Maybe we should just default on our debt, cut a better deal”.
. . .


Notice that Harris misrepresents Tump's comments on nuclear proliferation.  Here are links to what Trump actually said, along with a direct statement to the 'New York Times' that nuclear proliferation is the biggest problem facing the world —
      http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/27/us/politics/donald-trump-transcript.html
      http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/03/29/trump-i-hate-proliferation-but-it-would-be-better-if-japan-saudi-...
Trump: "... Biggest problem, to me, in the world, is nuclear, and proliferation."
And as I pointed out in my previous post, Harris oversimplifies Trump's comment regarding debt to serve his agenda in denouncing him.  Trump specifically mentioned 'buying back' debt to 'refinance' it, which is actually a very common practice (also, notice again that Harris repeatedly violates the quote from Hazlitt above in misrepresenting Trump's views) —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/11/the-sam-harris-fail.html

Back to 'The Most Powerful Clown'

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-most-powerful-clown
. . .
Any one of those things should have ended it.  But of course the little things were just as weird, and should have been just as disqualifying.  I mean, we have just elected a president who has bragged about invading the dressing rooms of beauty pageant contestants so that he could see them naked, when they were effectively his employees, he ... he owned the pageant.  And then he even bullied some of these young women publicly. Some on social media in the wee hours of the morning while campaigning for the presidency.  And then he denied doing any of these things, when no denial was even possible.  I mean we had all seen his tweets, and in response to the astonishment of the media, he looked the American people in the eye and said “No one respects women more than I do, no one”.  And half the country accepted that as what, the truth? As good theatre? As sketch comedy?

There are really no words to describe how far from normal we have drifted here.  David Remnick, the editor of The New Yorker, described the situation the night of the election, in a piece entitled “An American Tragedy”.  I’ll read a little of that so you get a sense of what the liberal elites were thinking at 3 AM —
"The election of Donald Trump to the Presidency is nothing less than a tragedy for the American republic, a tragedy for the Constitution, and a triumph for the forces, at home and abroad, of nativism, authoritarianism, misogyny, and racism.  Trump’s shocking victory, his ascension to the Presidency, is a sickening event in the history of the United States and liberal democracy.  On January 20, 2017, we will bid farewell to the first African-American President—a man of integrity, dignity, and generous spirit—and witness the inauguration of a con who did little to spurn endorsement by forces of xenophobia and white supremacy.  It is impossible to react to this moment with anything less than revulsion and profound anxiety."
...

"In the coming days, commentators will attempt to normalize this event.  They will try to soothe their readers and viewers with thoughts about the “innate wisdom” and “essential decency” of the American people.  They will downplay the virulence of the nationalism displayed, the cruel decision to elevate a man who rides in a gold-plated airliner but who has staked his claim with the populist rhetoric of blood and soil. ...

The commentators, in their attempt to normalize this tragedy, will also find ways to discount the bumbling and destructive behavior of the F.B.I., the malign interference of Russian intelligence, the free pass—the hours of uninterrupted, unmediated coverage of his rallies—provided to Trump by cable television, particularly in the early months of his campaign.  We will be asked to count on the stability of American institutions, the tendency of even the most radical politicians to rein themselves in when admitted to office.  Liberals will be admonished as smug, disconnected from suffering, as if so many Democratic voters were unacquainted with poverty, struggle, and misfortune.  There is no reason to believe this palaver.  There is no reason to believe that Trump and his band of associates—Chris Christie, Rudolph Giuliani, Mike Pence, and, yes, Paul Ryan—are in any mood to govern as Republicans within the traditional boundaries of decency.  Trump was not elected on a platform of decency, fairness, moderation, compromise, and the rule of law; he was elected, in the main, on a platform of resentment.  Fascism is not our future—it cannot be; we cannot allow it to be so—but this is surely the way fascism can begin."

I think most of that is true, unfortunately, but it’s not the whole truth.  And the parts that are true, are probably not worth dwelling on at this point.  I’m not sure how useful it’ll be to stay in the well of blame and despair and and to resist “normalizing” the situation but, it is true that the ‘normalizing’ seems like an act of prayer.  Just consider Trump’s victory speech, which was alarming for how un-Trumpian it was.  I mean it read like it was written by Van Jones on ambien.  It was the most anodyne bit of fence mending.  But you can feel the desperation in the media, to read into his surprisingly gracious notes.  The normalcy that Remnick is talking about here.  I mean, maybe we were all just wrong about him, right?  Maybe he’s a nice guy after all.  What are the chances of that?  Is it possible that an ethical person merely pretended to be a total asshole for 18 months?  It seems somehow farfetched.  But what a way to make of the fact that Trump had nothing but nice things to say about Clinton.  What happened to “Lock her up?”  Does anyone care about the Trump who spoke on the night of the election was totally unrecognizable?  Who did his supporters think they had elected?  Were his supporters surprised to see him merely praise Hillary?  Is it all theatre?  Who is this guy?  Will he attempt to do anything he promised to do?  Does anyone know?  Does Ivanka have any idea what her dad will do as President?
. . .


Notice that Harris's quote of David Remnick above is a kind of appeal to authority fallacy — what the 'liberal elites' were thinking?  I have no idea why Harris thinks there is such a thing as a 'liberal elite', but what anyone is thinking is completely irrelevant, unless they have a compelling argument for thinking it.

It certainly is not clear why Harris would waste his listener's time by reading David Remnick's writing into his podcast, since it adds nothing that Harris had not already said — it is just more emotional invective, without substance.

Regarding the supposed 'bumbling and destructive behavior of the F.B.I.', for example, I can only assume that this is meant to refer to the F.B.I. doing anything at all regarding Hillary Clinton — but a good case certainly cannot be made for doing nothing, since it is a trivial exercise to show that Hillary violated the law.  That is, unless you do not care about a core principle of democracy, like the rule of law (as Sam Harris and Andrew Sullivan at least pretended to be so concerned about elsewhere).   See the details here —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/07/mediamatters-hillary-clintons-shill.html

Back to 'The Most Powerful Clown'

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-most-powerful-clown
. . .
Now I’ve gotten a fair amount of grief from people at this point for having been wrong about the election.  I’m not sure what they mean.   I admit I did jinx it by posting a suitably repellent picture of Trump on Twitter early in the day and say ‘Bye bye Donald’.  Of course that wasn’t a prediction, I was simply saying how nice it would be to never think about him again.  Of course when I sent that tweet the polls were giving him around a 20% chance of winning.  Now whether the polls were wrong or not is anyone's guess at this point — a 20% chance of winning is not nothing, right?  Spend a few minutes with some dice and see how often a 20% chance comes up.  It comes up quite frequently sometimes on the very first roll.  So, I jinxed the election.  Sorry about that.  But surely it can’t have been a failure of judgement to have trusted the most reputable polls.  Basically, everyone was doing that.  What else was there to trust?  Just the torrents of hatred I saw on social media?  But the story about what happened with the polls will be interesting in the weeks and months ahead.

The truth is I always had a bad feeling about the election, and that’s why I talked about it so much on this podcast.  I could tell that Hillary’s flaws as a candidate were causing people to ignore Trump’s flaws as a human being.  Well, we’re about to find out how high a price we and the rest of the world will pay for that.  Speaking personally I can say, I left more or less everything on the field.  I know I alienated many of you in how fully I disparaged Trump.  And I kept doing it even at the risk of boring those of you who actually agreed with me because I thought it was so important.  I don’t honestly see how I could have done any more, and at this moment that’s actually a good feeling.  I was preparing myself for this moment and I certainly know many scientists, business people and writers who can’t say the same.  But who knows, the fact that they held their tongues may appear fairly prudent at this moment.  We’re about to see an astonishingly vindictive man sweep to power with not many check to his power.  He has threatened to go after his enemies.  To jail Hillary, to sue the women who accused him of sexual assault, to change our libel laws, to go after the Washington Post.  Again, this is not a normal moment in American history.

Now many people ask me whether I regret not backing Bernie Sanders.  If I’m so trusting of polls, why didn’t I trust the polls that showed him to have a better chance than Clinton against Trump.  Because Sanders was totally untested, he had never been subjected to opposition research the way Clinton had.  We knew what the Republicans were going to say about Clinton.  Who knows what they would have done to Sanders.  It is true he would have drawn some of the isolationist and anti-establishment vote that went to Trump.  And perhaps he would have turned out more voters than Clinton did, and it looks like that could have been decisive.  It seems that Hillary got 6 millions fewer votes than Obama did in 2012, and 10 million fewer than he got in 2008.  So, democrats didn’t show up and I hope all those Bernie supporters who stayed home, or voted who third-party will be paying attention over the next four years.  But I share the view that the election was generally a repudiation of the left, and the political correctness in particular as much as it was just a vote for change.  It was a repudiation of black and brown identity politics by white identity politics and it’s important to point out that this isn’t the same as racism.  I don’t believe that the majority of the people who voted for Trump were motivated by racism.  There are people who voted for Obama twice who voted for Trump.  Racism cannot be the best way to explain that.  This is where the prevailing analysis on the left is wrong, of the sort that I just read from David Remnick in the New Yorker.

Yes, we have just elected a man who was officially endorsed by the Ku Klux Klan, so you can be sure that every white racist in the country voted for Trump, but there are millions of other decent people who have reasonable concerns about a movement like Black Lives Matter.  Most of these people probably voted for Trump too.  These people are not racist they were simply recoiling from charges of racism and from a toxic brand of identity politics.  Much of what has been coming out of the left, not everything, but much of it, particularly about race, and about law and order, and about Islamophobia, and about terrorism, about issues that are fundamental to the security of our society, has had all the moral clarity and intellectual honesty of the OJ verdict.  Which is to say none at all.  I’m confident that many people don’t perceive Trump to be a dangerous conman, in the way that I do, probably voted for him out of sheer exasperation.  They were sick of being called racists for not worrying about Halloween costumes on our Ivy League campuses.  So millions of these people, along with real racists, told all you whinging social justice warriors at Yale and Brown to go fuck yourselves.  And can you really blame them?  I mean, safe-spaces, trigger warnings, new gender pronouns, getting Muslim student groups to de-platform speakers like Ayaan Hirsi Ali and Bill Maher.  Was that the cause of your generation?  That’s the trench you’re willing to die in?  The question is; would a Democratic campaign that leaned even further to the left have prevailed further in this situation?  I doubt it, and does Sanders have anything sensible to say about foreign policy?  Would he have been to address fears about terrorism.  It certainly didn’t seem that way at the time.  I suspect that this really is the crux of the issue.  At least it’s the main reason why even those who saw Trump’s flaws didn’t care about them.  The problem that worried me the whole time is the left’s total failure to speak honestly about Islam and terrorism and the refugee crisis in Europe.  This I think was decisive.  Certainly, it was one of the things that had it gone the other way would have given us a different result.
. . .


I'd say Harris gives some good criticism in the last paragraph quoted above about the moral bankruptcy and cowardice of the left — thought I'm not sure he fully realizes the implications of what he is saying, since this is the group with which he has aligned himself — 'what does that liberal elite think'?

But in any case, no one knows, including Sam Harris, if Democrats saying something sensible about foreign policy would have been decisive, or given us a different result.

Back to 'The Most Powerful Clown'

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-most-powerful-clown
. . .
Admittedly, it seems strange to cite polls at this point, but what else can I do?  The exit polls show that the people who said their primary concerns were terrorism and immigration, voted overwhelmingly for Trump.  Whereas those who concerned about the economy or foreign policy voted for Clinton.  So, it wasn’t “the economy stupid” this time around, though economic fears certainly played a role.  And it wasn’t just poor whites who supported Trump.  The median income of Trump voters was $72,000.  And I think that in this election concerns about terrorism and immigration largely boiled down to a concern about Islamism, and to the fear and distrust provoked by liberal lies about it.  Immigration means other things of course, but I don’t think it’s mainly that there a lot of white people whose median income is $72,000 who want to pick strawberries for a living.  If my collisions on social media told me anything over the last year, it’s that many people were nearly single issue voters when it came to Islam.  I would bet that this accounts for many more people than voted for third-party candidate.  Which was also probably decisive.  The fact that we have a president who wouldn’t even use the phrase “Islamic extremism”, who could even say things like “terrorism has less to do with Islam than any other religion”, right, and the fact that Clinton seemed to embrace this delusion, even though she did on occasion use the phrase “radical jihadism”, as though that made any sense.  That was a terrible problem.  And of course the fact that she and her husband have taken tens of millions of dollars from the Saudis and other Islamist regimes didn’t help.  Couple that with this unexplained desire to increase the number of Syrian refugees by 550% without ever acknowledging what is going wrong in Europe.  This was a deal breaker from many people, and I heard these people endlessly over the last year.

And the problem of course is people are right to be worried about Islamism and Jihadism, and all the left has offered on this point are lies, and sanctimony and charges of racism and bigotry.  Worrying about Islam more than any other religion at this moment is not a sign of racism or bigotry.  Muslims themselves should be worried more about Islam at this moment than about Mormonism, Anglicanism, or Judaism.  This is basic human sanity, and most people know it.  But Clinton was the sort of politician, who in the immediate aftermath of the Orlando massacre, spoke only about gun control, and then issued grave warnings about a rise in Islamophobia.  When we had just suffered yet another jihadist atrocity on American soil.  This was unforgivably stupid.  And I knew it at the time that this was the sort of stupidity that could pave the way for Trump.  I even wrote a section of a speech that I thought Clinton should give about Islamism and jihadism, and put it on my blog.  It would have been so easy for her to have made sense on this issue, and to have differentiated a sane understanding of jihadism from bigotry against Muslims in general.  But she couldn’t do it.  She wouldn’t do it.  All of these things contributed to her loss, and to the rise of Trump.
. . .


It is interesting that Sam Harris would call out the tens of millions of dollars the Clinton's have received from Saudi Arabia, and other authoritarian, Islamist regimes, but Harris leaves out the more important point that arms sales to those same regimes jumped under Hillary Clinton's tenure as Secretary of State, for the period October 2010 to September 2012 —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/09/paul-krugman-and-hillary-clinton-birds.html

And again, it is fascinating that Sam Harris does not seem to know who he is aligned with — I know he is not a fan of Hillary Clinton (only claiming that she is supposedly a much lesser evil, when compared with Trump) — but did Harris really have any expectation that a politically correct, career politician, would take a stand against one of the world's dominant religions?

Any expectation that Hillary Clinton would not mention a propaganda term like 'Islamophobia' positively, strikes me as pure delusion.   Of course, Hillary Clinton did not come out with criticism of Islam, after an act of Islamic terrorism.

Why on earth would anyone expect her to do that?

Back to 'The Most Powerful Clown'

https://www.samharris.org/podcast/item/the-most-powerful-clown
. . .
So the question now is, how do we move forward having to declare the next president to be an absolute jackass, and a sexual predator?  And as I’ve said in a previous podcast a liar of the sort one would only expect to find in a mental hospital?  How do we move from making jokes about placing the nuclear codes into the hands of a dangerous narcissist to actually placing the nuclear codes into his hands?  Well, I’m afraid we just do.  And we hope that this man who appears to lie about everything, has also been lying about how awful a person he is.  Let’s hope he isn’t who who he has seem to be.  Let’s hope that he really is a cipher, let’s hope he was only pretending not to believe in climate change.  Let’s hope that he was only pretending to admire Vladimir Putin.  Let’s hope that he was only pretending to believe the sorts of conspiracy theories that helped get him elected.  Let’s hope he really is a con man without any core commitments, other than to maintain his own fame and glory.  Because then there’s a chance that knowledgeable people might be able to influence him.

I thought president Obama struck the right note yesterday, we all must hope for Trump’s success at this point.  We want his presidency to be a good one.  It’s as if we’re all on an airplane together, and the real pilot has died.  And now a man who has never flown an airplane has taken over the controls, and is attempting an emergency landing, and we’re all stuck in the back of the plane.  So we’re rooting for the man in the cockpit.  Of course, before he got his hands on the controls, some of us complained about how unqualified he was.  There were a few other people back here with a lot of time spent flying planes.  But this guy stormed the cockpit, and now he’s in the pilot seat, and the runway is in view, and we are out of time.  So let’s hope he’s talking to people in air traffic control.  The problem of course is, it actually matters who is in the tower.  Just think about who Trump has surrounded himself with — Rudy Giuliani, Chris Christie, Sarah Palin, Mike Pence — this is a clown car of ideologues and incompetents with a couple of religious maniacs thrown in.  But again we want him to land this plane and it doesn’t have to be pretty.  It doesn’t matter if we all wind up covered in vomit.  We will be grateful just to be alive.  And I will be very grateful if after four years Donald Trump hasn’t set back human progress a generation.

This may all sound like hyperbole, but who knows what sort of mistakes this man is capable of.  And if you said that about Clinton, you were just wrong.  Even with all her flaws we have no idea who Trump is, or what he will do.  He probably doesn’t even know.  But we do know that he has less understanding about the responsibilities he’s about to assume than any president before him.  Indeed, he has less understanding than any candidate most of us have ever conceived of.  So, let’s hope he’s a quick study, and let's hope there are thousands of good people who are willing to work for him.  Which brings up a point I saw raised on social media by a few people — no matter how horrified you are by this result, no matter how judgmental you are of the people who enabled him, people like Paul Ryan, you have to hope that the best people available will come forward now, and be willing to serve in Trump’s administration.  People with good reputation and real expertise.  We can’t afford to question the motives and integrity of anyone who would join this administration.  We want the best people we can get in the door.  We have to hope that being president of the United States brings out the best in Donald Trump.  Campaigning for the presidency brought out the worst, it showed what he’s like as an embattled narcissist and fabulist and demagogue, but now he's won, right?  Now he will be surrounded by people seeking the warm glow of his power, now he will inspire fear, actual fear not merely scorn in his critics.  He is no longer just a clown, he is the most powerful clown on Earth.  We have to hope that winning to this degree will pacify some of his demons.  Is there a historical or psychological precedent for this?  I have no idea.  But we’re about to find out what happens to a man with a famously, palpably, visibly unhealthy ego, who suddenly triumphed over everyone who ever doubted him.  This is a man who when he voted in New York, at his polling place, got jeered by a crowd on Tuesday.  In a city that voted 87% against him, and one day he’s going to ride back into town on Air Force One — imagine the way his ego feels right now.  Just imagine the satisfaction Trump will feel when he takes possession of the White House and shows president Obama the door.  The first black president who humiliated him in front of all the Washington elites at the White House correspondents dinner.  Go watch footage of that, all those laughs at his expense.  Trump has been a punchline for decades.  He’s been the Rodney Dangerfield of billionaires, but that moment with Obama at the podium was the worst.  And now he gets to tell Barack Hussein Obama to get out of his house and then tear his legacy to shreds.  You’ve got the first black president being shown the door by a man who always questioned his legitimacy in racist terms, and has been endorsed by the KKK.  Only Shakespeare could do this moment justice.

So, while Trump seems like he could become some sort of Caligula with an iPhone, we have to hope that our democratic institution will restrain him.  That the awesome responsibilities thrust his way, the responsibility of running a superpower will bring out the better angels of his nature, if he has any.  So I think normalizing this mess might be the best we can do for the time being. Needless to say, a pendulum swing into left wing identity politics will not be helpful, but it seems extremely likely to occur.  In fact it’s already happening with these ridiculous protests under the banner of “Not my president”.  Good luck with that.

How many of you voted for a third-party? Or didn’t vote at all?  What we need are smart ethical people in the political center, who can defend freedom of speech and science, and the norms of civil discourse from their enemies on both the right and the left.  And so far as I can do anything useful in that area, I will do my best.  That is part of what this podcast is for.  And if you guys have any ideas about who I should talk to on the podcast about the fate of civilization, I will be very happy to hear your ideas.  And I promise I will be getting to interesting topics totally unrelated to politics, in fact I will mostly do this.  Because what I say about politics doesn’t seem to do much.

As always you can support the podcast at samharris.org/support, and you can also support it on a per episode basis at patreon.com/samharris.  About 2% of listeners regularly support the podcast now, and I’m hoping to bring that up to 10% — that will be a game changer.  And if you are already a supporter, please know that your help is greatly appreciated.  And once again thanks for listening, until next time.


And here is the ultimate payoff from the hours of Sam Harris's podcasts denouncing Trump — notice this quote from Harris in the center paragraph above —
"And if you said that about Clinton, you were just wrong."
If you do not agree with Harris on this, you cannot be correct — even if Harris cannot explain why.

And, ironically, all this from the author of a book on the harm of lying
     https://www.samharris.org/blog/item/new-ebook-lying

As an interesting comparison, notice that both Sam Harris and Andrew Sullivan exude what Thomas Sowell described as 'The Vision of the Anointed', in that they have a vision, or world view, that they wish to enforce on others via a political process, and verifying that view with evidence is not an important concern —
     https://duckduckgo.com/?q=thomas+sowell+the+vision+of+the+anointed
     https://fee.org/articles/the-vision-of-the-anointed-self-congratulation-as-a-basis-for-social-policy/

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Paul Krugman and Hillary Clinton: Birds Of A Feather

Here are some example blog posts regarding Paul Krugman's incompetence as an economist, and his lack of character —
     https://www.google.com/search?q=paul+krugman+site%3Amaxautonomy.blogspot.com

To anyone who has made a reasonable effort to educate themselves about economic conditions around the world, and especially over time, Paul Krugman's opinion pieces are blatantly absurd and completely unoriginal.  After all, regarding economic problems, he simply repeats the basic Keynesian formula over and over — demand is too low, and so government must increase spending.

See Krugman's praise of WW II, for example, where he attempts to pretend that the massive expenditures of the U.S. Government in preparation for the war, and the massive destruction that followed, supposedly made everyone better off
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2014/09/oh-what-ugly-paul-krugman.html

And take note that Krugman conveniently dismisses the rationing that had to be enforced by the U.S. Government well after the massive stimulus for WW II began, as if that rationing was simply a necessary byproduct of the war effort.   Krugman completely blanks out the inconvenient fact that the rationing that was introduced as a result of the massive spending to support the war effort stands in direct contradiction to his repeated claims that any government spending improves economic conditions by 'stimulating demand' — both Krugman and Keynesians in general insist that any government spending improves economic conditions and makes us all better off.

If you believe that Krugman puts some kind of qualification on the kinds of government spending that are actually helpful, you are wrong.  See him speaking here, where he explicitly insists that a massive government spending program does not need to be useful to be helpful.   Yes, really, according to the Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, even government waste is good
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2015/06/krugmans-obviously-false-debt-spin.html

So, no one should be surprised that a corrupt academic like Paul Krugman would come to the defense of a corrupt politician like Hillary Clinton.  If it is true that Hillary Clinton has no character issues, how on earth would Paul Krugman be able to tell?
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/08/lying-about-hillary-clintons-lies.html



...
Meanwhile, we have the presumption that anything Hillary Clinton does must be corrupt, most spectacularly illustrated by the increasingly bizarre coverage of the Clinton Foundation.

Step back for a moment, and think about what that foundation is about. When Bill Clinton left office, he was a popular, globally respected figure.  What should he have done with that reputation? Raising large sums for a charity that saves the lives of poor children sounds like a pretty reasonable, virtuous course of action.  And the Clinton Foundation is, by all accounts, a big force for good in the world. For example, Charity Watch, an independent watchdog, gives it an “A” rating — better than the American Red Cross.

Now, any operation that raises and spends billions of dollars creates the potential for conflicts of interest.  You could imagine the Clintons using the foundation as a slush fund to reward their friends, or, alternatively, Mrs. Clinton using her positions in public office to reward donors.  So it was right and appropriate to investigate the foundation’s operations to see if there were any improper quid pro quos.  As reporters like to say, the sheer size of the foundation “raises questions.”

But nobody seems willing to accept the answers to those questions, which are, very clearly, “no.”

Consider the big Associated Press report suggesting that Mrs. Clinton’s meetings with foundation donors while secretary of state indicate “her possible ethics challenges if elected president.”  Given the tone of the report, you might have expected to read about meetings with, say, brutal foreign dictators or corporate fat cats facing indictment, followed by questionable actions on their behalf.

But the prime example The A.P. actually offered was of Mrs. Clinton meeting with Muhammad Yunus, a winner of the Nobel Peace Prize who also happens to be a longtime personal friend.  If that was the best the investigation could come up with, there was nothing there.

So I would urge journalists to ask whether they are reporting facts or simply engaging in innuendo, and urge the public to read with a critical eye.  If reports about a candidate talk about how something “raises questions,” creates “shadows,” or anything similar, be aware that these are all too often weasel words used to create the impression of wrongdoing out of thin air.

And here’s a pro tip: the best ways to judge a candidate’s character are to look at what he or she has actually done, and what policies he or she is proposing. Mr. Trump’s record of bilking students, stiffing contractors and more is a good indicator of how he’d act as president; Mrs. Clinton’s speaking style and body language aren’t.  George W. Bush’s policy lies gave me a much better handle on who he was than all the up-close-and-personal reporting of 2000, and the contrast between Mr. Trump’s policy incoherence and Mrs. Clinton’s carefulness speaks volumes today.

In other words, focus on the facts. America and the world can’t afford another election tipped by innuendo.



Krugman offers this recommendation in the piece referenced above —
" ... So I would urge journalists to ask whether they are reporting facts or simply engaging in innuendo, and urge the public to read with a critical eye.  If reports about a candidate talk about how something “raises questions,” creates “shadows,” or anything similar, be aware that these are all too often weasel words used to create the impression of wrongdoing out of thin air. ..."
Krugman's recommendation is pure comedy given his own fetish for using 'weasel words'
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2014/09/krugman-attempts-defense-of-bad-writing.html

If you are at all sympathetic to Krugman's point of view, you might try actually following part of his advice, and 'read with a critical eye' — you should begin with Krugman's own writings.

Consider Krugman's mocking comment regarding this Associated Press report
     http://www.bigstory.ap.org/article/82df550e1ec646098b434f7d5771f625/many-donors-clinton-foundation-met-her-state
     http://archive.is/nrmXK
"... Consider the big Associated Press report suggesting that Mrs. Clinton’s meetings with foundation donors while secretary of state indicate “her possible ethics challenges if elected president.”   Given the tone of the report, you might have expected to read about meetings with, say, brutal foreign dictators or corporate fat cats facing indictment, followed by questionable actions on their behalf. ..."
Well, there is plenty of evidence to indicate that Hillary Clinton did much worse than just have 'meetings with, say, brutal foreign dictators', as Paul Krugman derisively joked in dismissing the Associated Press report.   Notice that during Hillary Clinton's term as Secretary of State there were massive increases in arms sales to authoritarian regimes who donated to the Clinton Foundation — regimes that were simultaneously being criticized by the U.S. Government.   Pity, Paul Krugman cannot seem to recognize those 'questionable actions' (surprise).

Included below is page three from the 'Historical Facts Book of September 2013', from the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, showing large jumps in arms sales to Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates, in 2012 under Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.  These countries, among others, all donated to the Clinton Foundation —


...
Under Clinton's leadership, the State Department approved $165 billion worth of commercial arms sales to 20 nations whose governments have given money to the Clinton Foundation, according to an IBTimes analysis of State Department and foundation data.  That figure -- derived from the three full fiscal years of Clinton’s term as Secretary of State (from October 2010 to September 2012) -- represented nearly double the value of American arms sales made to the those countries and approved by the State Department during the same period of President George W. Bush’s second term.

The Clinton-led State Department also authorized $151 billion of separate Pentagon-brokered deals for 16 of the countries that donated to the Clinton Foundation, resulting in a 143 percent increase in completed sales to those nations over the same time frame during the Bush administration.  These extra sales were part of a broad increase in American military exports that accompanied Obama’s arrival in the White House.  The 143 percent increase in U.S. arms sales to Clinton Foundation donors compares to an 80 percent increase in such sales to all countries over the same time period.

American defense contractors also donated to the Clinton Foundation while Hillary Clinton was secretary of state and in some cases made personal payments to Bill Clinton for speaking engagements.  Such firms and their subsidiaries were listed as contractors in $163 billion worth of Pentagon-negotiated deals that were authorized by the Clinton State Department between 2009 and 2012.

The State Department formally approved these arms sales even as many of the deals enhanced the military power of countries ruled by authoritarian regimes whose human rights abuses had been criticized by the department.  Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Qatar all donated to the Clinton Foundation and also gained State Department clearance to buy caches of American-made weapons even as the department singled them out for a range of alleged ills, from corruption to restrictions on civil liberties to violent crackdowns against political opponents.

As secretary of state, Hillary Clinton also accused some of these countries of failing to marshal a serious and sustained campaign to confront terrorism.  In a December 2009 State Department cable published by Wikileaks, Clinton complained of “an ongoing challenge to persuade Saudi officials to treat terrorist financing emanating from Saudi Arabia as a strategic priority.”  She declared that “Qatar's overall level of CT cooperation with the U.S. is considered the worst in the region.”  She said the Kuwaiti government was “less inclined to take action against Kuwait-based financiers and facilitators plotting attacks.”  She noted that “UAE-based donors have provided financial support to a variety of terrorist groups.”  All of these countries donated to the Clinton Foundation and received increased weapons export authorizations from the Clinton-run State Department.

Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and the Clinton Foundation did not respond to questions from the IBTimes.

In all, governments and corporations involved in the arms deals approved by Clinton’s State Department have delivered between $54 million and $141 million to the Clinton Foundation as well as hundreds of thousands of dollars in payments to the Clinton family, according to foundation and State Department records.  The Clinton Foundation publishes only a rough range of individual contributors’ donations, making a more precise accounting impossible.
...


As always, Paul Krugman panders to his dull ignorant readers.  Notice this positive comment from Reed Scherer, in response to Krugman's piece 'Hillary Gets Gored', shown in the image of Krugman's piece above —
"... Hillary is flawed (who isn't?) and has made mistakes (who hasn't?) but there is zero evidence that she is "crooked."   Her knowledge and skills are uniquely impressive in American history. ..."
I guess Reed is having a little trouble following Krugman's advice to 'read with a critical eye'.   Reed is in good company, since he fits in well with the many other Krugman sycophants —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2016/01/paul-krugman-and-his-cadre-of-idiot-sycophants.html

And as is typical of much of what Krugman writes and says, his defense of Hillary here is absurd on its face.  If the Clinton's wanted to do charitable work, why wouldn't they simply work for any of a number of other charities doing similar work, and which they do not control, to make any conflict of interest impossible.  Do you think that maybe, the whole point was that they wanted control, so they could benefit directly?   Are the Clintons better than, say, 'Bill and Melinda Gates' at doing charitable work, or, say, 'Doctors Without Borders'?  Your answer to that question reflects on your own honesty —
     http://charlesortel.com/
     http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-07/clinton-foundation-charity-fraud-epic-proportions-analyst-charges-...
     http://archive.is/YwOre

Thankfully, others among the American public are not as confused about Hillary's track record of corruption as Paul Krugman and Reed Scherer.   Both Hillary and Trump have set new records for disapproval in opinion polls —