Sunday, December 6, 2015

Bernie Sanders: A Glaring Symptom Of American Dishonesty


... Thus, for example, health care was declared by Bill Clinton during the 1992 election campaign to be "a right, not a privilege" — a neat dichotomy which verbally eliminates the whole vast range of things for which we work, precisely because they are neither rights nor privileges.  For society as a whole, nothing is a right — not even bare subsistence, which has to be produced by human toil.  Particular segments of society can of course be insulated from the necessities impinging on society as a whole, by having someone else carry their share of the work, either temporarily or permanently.  But, however much those others recede into the background in the verbal picture painted by words like "rights," the whole process is one of differential privilege. ...
  — Thomas Sowell, 'The Vision Of The Anointed: Self-Congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy', 1995, p.100


A long standing dishonesty among the American public (and most of the world) is the false claim that human rights include a certain quality of life, or outcome — i.e. that an individual's rights place an obligation on others to provide for their needs.

This is so obviously contradictory, it is surprising what lengths so many will go to in their attempts to delude themselves that it is somehow true.

The contradiction is too obvious to be honestly ignored.   That is, if you have a right to other people's labor to satisfy your needs, why do they not have a right to your labor to satisfy theirs?   To put it another way, if you have a right to, say, 'free' medical care simply because you need it, as so many wish to pretend, why don't the individuals that provide that 'free' care (whether unpaid medical staff, or taxpayers) have the same right to make you their servant, simply because they need it?

There is no honest answer to explain the contradiction highlighted by such questions, despite the convoluted rationalizations that many will immediately spin to justify the individual rights violations entailed by any supposedly free government provided service — if government gives any service for free to some group of individuals, other individuals are being made slaves to them, regardless of how one describes the relationship.

Typically, people pretend that because one person is suffering and another is not (that one person's well being is higher than another's) that is enough to justify the initiation of force via the political process, to force one person to serve another.   But this clearly does not make it right — that is, human suffering or need does not somehow magically create a human right.

Certainly, the vast majority of people would not want their time and effort to be seen as something owed to others as a right, yet when that majority wants something from a minority among them, they ignore their hypocrisy and pretend their desire to engage in rent-seeking is moral (while simultaneously complaining when others attempt to get special treatment from government, of course).

Human rights can be reduced to one simple idea: if others do not leave you alone, it is moral for you to fight back — that is, to defend yourself by retaliating with force.

In other words, other than for purposes of restitution, it is contradictory to claim that any action can be morally required of you by others without your consent.   Individual rights create the restriction that one is morally obligated not to harm or harass others — not that one is morally obligated to serve others.   Obviously, again, there is no such thing as a right to be served by others (that would be slavery).   Therefore, any law that requires an action which is not part of a restitution is immoral — like creating a legal requirement for some group to provide or pay for some service for others without the unanimous consent of the group.   In short, it should be obvious that law cannot morally be used to initiate force, and so any law which does so must be immoral.

Notice that this simple idea includes rights violations from externalities, like pollution — measuring the harm is complicated (like if someone is running a loud smoking car in a driveway near you, or polluting the groundwater you use for drinking), but the principle of individuals being prohibited actions that harm others is not complicated.

It is important to emphasize that legally requiring actions by some individuals without their consent, to provide some service by right to others, completely destroys the principle of individual rights.   That is, such a use of force makes every individual's freedom of action, and so their fundamental right, conditional on the dictates of government — in no way can this be defined as freedom, or consistent with the recognition and protection of individual rights.   You are not free, and so have no rights, if government can claim your time and effort for others by right.

The ultimate end result of such a principle is the numerous bloody dictatorships that have always existed, epitomized by North Korea.   In principle there is no difference between such brutal regimes and other socialist states, regardless of the obvious differences in practice.   That is, such bloody dictatorships have simply taken the principle that individuals owe service to others as a right to its logical conclusion.   Once such a principle is accepted, every individual's life belongs to the state — with any supposedly justifying need, the state is then obligated to dispose of the time and effort of its citizen's lives to protect an individual's supposed 'right' to receive service (and if nothing else, people have certainly demonstrated the ease with which they can invent nonsensical rights to service).

On what grounds can one argue that North Korea is immoral, for example, when one accepts and defends the principle that the state can dispose of one's time and effort against one's will simply because of another's need?

North Korea simply applies that principle in all cases, and jails anyone who refuses to submit — after all, under the principle that the state can dispose of your time and effort based on the needs of others by right, the refusal to submit constitutes a violation of another individual's rights — that is, it is a legitimate crime under the principle.   There is no escaping this obvious conclusion.   If others can demand your time and effort by right, then it is criminal for you to refuse — just as it is criminal to steal another's property which belongs to them by right.   This is what it means to claim that something is a right.

So to those who say that one has a right to medical care, for example, what would you say to criticize North Korea? —
      "Oh, they've just gone too far." ? (!!)

Really?   Why?   Aren't they just being more consistent?

Perhaps you would say —
      "North Korea is immoral because they closed their border, and don't allow people to migrate." ?

But why does the government of North Korea not have a right to prevent people from leaving by closing their border, if those who wish to leave owe their services to others by right?   How could a country possibly enforce such a right without closing its borders?

In short, it is impossible for an honest person to criticize a brutal dictatorship like North Korea, after having accepted on principle that one can have a right to the time and efforts of others (via some service like medical care).   Everything North Korea has done follows directly from that principle to the extreme, and as contemptible and unjust as such a country is, the only way to attack such regimes is with a clear defense of man's right to be left alone — that is, with an attack on the irrational altruist ethic of self-sacrifice, and the false and nonsensical claim that there is a supposed right to the involuntary servitude of others.

It is fascinating that people seem to believe that such an enormous perverse debasement of individual rights will somehow never harm them.

And notice that there is nothing new in the claim that individuals have a right to the involuntary servitude of others — the Democratic party insisted that explicitly over 50 years ago in their party platform of 1960.

The Democratic Party Platform of 1960 clearly states the contradiction of a supposed right to service, claiming as a value and support for "our open society which places its highest value upon individual dignity", as opposed to the Communist world where "the rights of men are sacrificed to the state", while the same platform also supported an "Economic Bill of Rights" — i.e. a right to the forced labor or agreement of other individuals, directly contradicting the supposed recognition of the value of individual dignity by demanding the sacrifice of the rights of men to the state.

It is just our old friend the Orwellian double think again — my freedom requires your oppression --

http://archive.is/RRUpE

Democratic Party Platform of 1960
July 11, 1960
...

The Communist World

To the rulers of the Communist World: We confidently accept your challenge to competition in every field of human effort.

We recognize this contest as one between two radically different approaches to the meaning of life—our open society which places its highest value upon individual dignity, and your closed society in which the rights of men are sacrificed to the state.

We believe your Communist ideology to be sterile, unsound, and doomed to failure. We believe that your children will reject the intellectual prison in which you seek to confine them, and that ultimately they will choose the eternal principles of freedom.
...

Control of Inflation

The American consumer has a right to fair prices. We are determined to secure that right.

Inflation has its roots in a variety of causes; its cure lies in a variety of remedies. Among those remedies are monetary and credit policies properly applied, budget surpluses in times of full employment, and action to restrain "administered price" increases in industries where economic power rests in the hands of a few.

A fair share of the gains from increasing productivity in many industries should he passed on to the consumer through price reductions.

The agenda which a new Democratic Administration will face next January is crowded with urgent needs on which action has been delayed, deferred, or denied by the present Administration.

A new Democratic Administration will undertake to meet those needs.

It will reaffirm the Economic Bill of Rights which Franklin Roosevelt wrote into our national conscience sixteen years ago. It will reaffirm these rights for all Americans of whatever race, place of residence, or station in life:

1. "The right to a useful and remunerative job in the industries or shops or farms or mines of the nation."
...

Minimum Wages

2. "The right to earn enough to provide adequate food and clothing and recreation."
...

Agriculture

3. "The right of every farmer to raise and sell his products at a return which will give him and his family a decent living."
...

Small Business

4. "The right of every businessman, large and small, to trade in an atmosphere of freedom from unfair competition and domination by monopolies at home and abroad."
...

Housing

5. "The right of every family to a decent home." Today our rate of home building is less than that of ten years ago. A healthy, expanding economy will enable us to build two million homes a year, in wholesome neighborhoods, for people of all incomes.
...

Health

6. "The right to adequate medical care and the opportunity to achieve and enjoy good health."
...

Mental Health

Mental patients fill more than half the hospital beds in the country today. We will provide greatly increased Federal support for psychiatric research and training, and community mental health programs, to help bring back thousands of our hospitalized mentally ill to full and useful lives in the community.

7. "The right to adequate protection from the economic fears of old age, sickness, accidents, and unemployment."
...

Education

8. "The right to a good education."
...


None of the supposed eight 'economic rights' listed above, from the Democratic Party Platform of 1960, can properly be considered a right (i.e. creating a crime, if they were not provided), since each one has nothing to do with freedom of action, and cannot be achieved without the forced participation of other individuals.   Each one claims a supposed right to a quality of life, or outcome, which does not exist in a state of nature, since it is a product of human effort and cooperation.

Here is an excellent definition of man's rights by Ayn Rand, from the chapter 'Man's Rights', from her book 'The Virtue of Selfishness'.   She wrote this essay back in 1963, and she included a description of the Democratic Party Platform of 1960, as an example of the destruction of the concept of individual rights --

https://ari.aynrand.org/issues/government-and-business/individual-rights/Mans-Rights
http://www.aynrand.org/novels/virtue-of-selfishness
...
A “right” is a moral principle defining and sanctioning a man’s freedom of action in a social context.   There is only one fundamental right (all the others are its consequences or corollaries): a man’s right to his own life.   Life is a process of self-sustaining and self-generated action; the right to life means the right to engage in self-sustaining and self-generated action—which means: the freedom to take all the actions required by the nature of a rational being for the support, the furtherance, the fulfillment and the enjoyment of his own life.   (Such is the meaning of the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.)

The concept of a “right” pertains only to action—specifically, to freedom of action.   It means freedom from physical compulsion, coercion or interference by other men.

Thus, for every individual, a right is the moral sanction of a positive — of his freedom to act on his own judgment, for his own goals, by his own voluntary, uncoerced choice.   As to his neighbors, his rights impose no obligations on them except of a negative kind: to abstain from violating his rights.

The right to life is the source of all rights—and the right to property is their only implementation.   Without property rights, no other rights are possible.   Since man has to sustain his life by his own effort, the man who has no right to the product of his effort has no means to sustain his life.   The man who produces while others dispose of his product, is a slave.

Bear in mind that the right to property is a right to action, like all the others: it is not the right to an object, but to the action and the consequences of producing or earning that object.   It is not a guarantee that a man will earn any property, but only a guarantee that he will own it if he earns it.   It is the right to gain, to keep, to use and to dispose of material values.

The concept of individual rights is so new in human history that most men have not grasped it fully to this day. In accordance with the two theories of ethics, the mystical or the social, some men assert that rights are a gift of God—others, that rights are a gift of society.   But, in fact, the source of rights is man’s nature.

The Declaration of Independence stated that men “are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights.” Whether one believes that man is the product of a Creator or of nature, the issue of man’s origin does not alter the fact that he is an entity of a specific kind—a rational being—that he cannot function successfully under coercion, and that rights are a necessary condition of his particular mode of survival.

“The source of man’s rights is not divine law or congressional law, but the law of identity.   A is A—and Man is Man.   Rights are conditions of existence required by man’s nature for his proper survival.   If man is to live on earth, it is right for him to use his mind, it is right to act on his own free judgment, it is right to work for his values and to keep the product of his work.   If life on earth is his purpose, he has a right to live as a rational being: nature forbids him the irrational.” (Atlas Shrugged.)

To violate man’s rights means to compel him to act against his own judgment, or to expropriate his values.   Basically, there is only one way to do it: by the use of physical force.   There are two potential violators of man’s rights: the criminals and the government.   The great achievement of the United States was to draw a distinction between these two—by forbidding to the second the legalized version of the activities of the first.
...

It was the concept of individual rights that had given birth to a free society. It was with the destruction of individual rights that the destruction of freedom had to begin.

A collectivist tyranny dare not enslave a country by an outright confiscation of its values, material or moral. It has to be done by a process of internal corruption.   Just as in the material realm the plundering of a country’s wealth is accomplished by inflating the currency—so today one may witness the process of inflation being applied to the realm of rights.   The process entails such a growth of newly promulgated “rights” that people do not notice the fact that the meaning of the concept is being reversed.   Just as bad money drives out good money, so these “printing-press rights” negate authentic rights.

Consider the curious fact that never has there been such a proliferation, all over the world, of two contradictory phenomena: of alleged new “rights” and of slave-labor camps.

The “gimmick” was the switch of the concept of rights from the political to the economic realm.

The Democratic Party platform of 1960 summarizes the switch boldly and explicitly.   It declares that a Democratic Administration “will reaffirm the economic bill of rights which Franklin Roosevelt wrote into our national conscience sixteen years ago.”

Bear clearly in mind the meaning of the concept of “rights” when you read the list which that platform offers:

  “1. The right to a useful and remunerative job in the industries or shops or farms or mines of the nation.
  “2. The right to earn enough to provide adequate food and clothing and recreation.
  “3. The right of every farmer to raise and sell his products at a return which will give him and his family a decent living.
  “4. The right of every businessman, large and small, to trade in an atmosphere of freedom from unfair competition
        and domination by monopolies at home and abroad.
  “5. The right of every family to a decent home.
  “6. The right to adequate medical care and the opportunity to achieve and enjoy good health.
  “7. The right to adequate protection from the economic fears of old age, sickness, accidents and unemployment.
  “8. The right to a good education.”

A single question added to each of the above eight clauses would make the issue clear: At whose expense?

Jobs, food, clothing, recreation (!), homes, medical care, education, etc., do not grow in nature.   These are man-made values—goods and services produced by men.   Who is to provide them?

If some men are entitled by right to the products of the work of others, it means that those others are deprived of rights and condemned to slave labor.

Any alleged “right” of one man, which necessitates the violation of the rights of another, is not and cannot be a right.

No man can have a right to impose an unchosen obligation, an unrewarded duty or an involuntary servitude on another man.   There can be no such thing as “the right to enslave.”

A right does not include the material implementation of that right by other men; it includes only the freedom to earn that implementation by one’s own effort.

Observe, in this context, the intellectual precision of the Founding Fathers: they spoke of the right to the pursuit of happiness—not of the right to happiness.   It means that a man has the right to take the actions he deems necessary to achieve his happiness; it does not mean that others must make him happy.

The right to life means that a man has the right to support his life by his own work (on any economic level, as high as his ability will carry him); it does not mean that others must provide him with the necessities of life.
...



Here is Rand Paul attempting to explain to Bernie Sanders the problems with declaring that one has a right to medical care --



Sanders is incapable of responding, other than to try to avoid the issue by getting one of the doctors invited to speak to state that she does not 'feel like a slave'.   Well, of course not — doctors that participate in government provided health care are being paid by taxpayers from forced tax collections — obviously they are a beneficiary here (at least to the degree that government actually pays).   That some doctors do not 'feel like slaves' does nothing to refute Rand Paul's point, which is that to claim something is a right means that it can be morally taken by force, regardless of how many are willing to give it up voluntarily.

And notice the comment from Debra Draper, from the U.S. Government Accountability Office, regarding the difficulty that Medicaid beneficiaries have in finding a physician, since many physicians simply refuse to see them because of the low Medicaid reimbursement rate (and this is only expected to get worse) —
     https://www.google.com/search?q=doctors+refuse+medicaid+patients

So much for the government's ability to provide free medical care — doctors simply stop providing the care if they feel the compensation is too low, regardless of how many may claim they do not 'feel like a slave' or that they will treat patients without payment.

And note that this video was not put together by an opponent of Bernie Sanders — it is a video Sanders had created and placed on his own YouTube channel.

Bernie Sanders is proud of such behavior, and thinks that voters should be inspired by it.  Well, of course many voters are — just not those that have a real understanding of human rights, and the destructive track records of world governments in their various attempts to provide so-called 'economic rights' (the Scandinavian countries included — despite Bernie's repeated praise of them).

Here is a funny and mocking video from Stefan Molyneux, entitled 'The Truth About Bernie Sanders', in which he points out the obvious and idiotic fallacies that Bernie Sanders has repeated throughout his career — no surprise there, since they are the same fallacies the Democratic party has been repeating for many decades, as shown by the main points from their 1960 party platform quoted above.  It is especially comical that Sanders was a registered independent for much of his career, given that his positions are so slavishly conformist — Bernie's core positions have been Democratic Party positions for decades, and prior to Sanders first taking political office as Mayor of Burlington, Vermont, in 1981.

Stefan Molyneux repeatedly points out the obvious childish appeal of Bernie's 'you have a right to free stuff'  talk.   Molyneux's nice encapsulation of Bernie Sanders at the close of his video is transcribed below --

"So, I mean look, Sanders has other public positions, they're exactly what you expect — 'rich bad, I'll give you free stuff', rinse, wash, repeat, same thing over and over.   So, look, people have been writing saying: 'What is your opinion on Bernie Sanders?'   He's ... I mean I hate to say it (laughing) ... I went and reorganized this presentation so many times ... because ... he's boring (laughing), he's predictable, and dull.

"Like all socialists he's completely divorced from physical, economic, and human reality — but is very in tune with the discontented greed of the masses that anxiously look for scapegoats for their own irresponsibility, and beg for politicians to give them free goodies that will be stolen from everyone's future children.

"The fact that a socialist has recently surpassed potentially brain damaged Hillary Clinton in favorability polls doesn't surprise me, given that the United States has already a massive number of socialist policies in place.   What's interesting is that Sanders is not even trying to hide his socialist agenda, unlike other politicians, yet his popularity is surging in the very country that fervently opposed the Soviet Union for decades.   'Socialist' is a dirty word for a reason, but heeyyy at least he's honest.

"I recently put out a video on the causes behind the collapse of Greece, and it's called 'The Fall of Greece, Prepare Yourself Accordingly'.   I strongly recommend that you watch it, because I fear the same trend is repeating itself in the United States.

"When someone offers you something for free, it starts off as a cobweb and it ends as a chain.   It's like a bad habit — it starts as a cobweb, ends as a chain.   It's like an addiction to a drug — starts as a high, and ends with a crash and destruction.   The true freedom in life — what makes you truly free, as in liberated, not deluded — what makes you truly free, is understanding that there is no such thing as free.   There's no such thing as free in this world, and everyone who tries to tell you that there is something that you can get for free, is giving you the drug called delusion in order to enslave you forever."


Here is an informative display of the dishonesty that explains the appeal of Bernie Sanders.   Quoted below are two comments to Stefan Molyneux's video above, from a YouTube user in defense of Bernie Sanders — notice that even though Stefan spent a good portion of his video addressing how wealthy individuals change their behavior in response to higher tax levels, this individual simply ignores those inconvenient points, and pretends that the government will have no difficulty in raising the revenue required by the extravagant social agenda of Bernie Sanders.

Note that the difficulty of raising government revenues by simply raising taxes on the rich is well documented — never mind that it is unfair, and so immoral, as welfare state zealots try desperately to ignore.   See my post here, for example —
      http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2014/11/real-ignorance-with-bill-maher.html

And of course, there is the even more obvious attempt from this Bernie Sanders defender, in the second comment quoted below, to pretend that Sanders is not offering free stuff (like education and medical care) to certain voters.   Of course, someone is going to pay, just not those Bernie is pandering to — they will in the end, as Molyneux went to great lengths to point out, but it will be in unintended consequences (normally in reduced quality or availability, as Medicaid patients already face), allowing Bernie's supporters to pretend it was free to them.

In short, it is a bald-faced lie to insist that 'No one is claiming this will be free', because Bernie would raise taxes on the wealthy, as the author of the comments below wrote — Bernie repeatedly states emphatically that we have a right to medical care and that higher education should be free, and the only people that such obvious nonsense appeals to, are those that want someone else to pay for their supposed 'right'.   I mean, who does the author of these comments think that he is fooling?   Are all Bernie Sanders supporters this dishonest?

If Bernie Sanders clearly stated that everyone would pay a dramatic tax increase to pay for his agenda, no one would support him.   That the wealthy would pay for Bernie's agenda, making it free to Bernie's supporters, is the whole point, and it is the only reason that anyone touts the supposed virtues of Bernie Sanders --

Tw4tch s 2 months ago
Stefan is clearly clueluess on Bernie Sander's policies. Something he is being called out on in the comments and dislikes of his videos. The only people this coward responds to are the vaguest of comments. Bernie will get money for education from taxing the speculation of Wall Street and by taxing billionaires at least as much as their own employees are being taxed. Do your research, Stefan and #feelthebern
Tw4tch s 2 months ago
+DamonM Roger  *No one is claiming this will be free.* Scandanavians have plenty of money after taxes, after education and after going to the hospital. What America isnt tell us is that we have a higher personal debt for the average citizen than any Scandinavian country, yet we are still the richest country in the history of the world. Where is all that money going?


Here Molyneux responds in detail to much of the criticism to 'The Truth About Bernie Sanders'
      https://altcensored.com/watch?v=z1jCSfySGtk


In a previous post regarding Noam Chomsky's complete lack of credibility, I quoted a large section of Ayn Rand's essay 'Collectivized Ethics', from her book 'The Virtue of Selfishness', since that essay so eloquently describes the contemptible and perverse psychology so widely displayed by Chomsky and many others like him, in their massively confused zeal to pretend that the initiation of force can be moral.   It is especially perverse in Chomsky's case, since he repeatedly argues that the U.S. is the leading terrorist state.   Chomsky really seems convinced that a leading terrorist state should have massive control over its citizens.   See my previous post for details —
      http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2015/06/noam-chomsky-losing-all-credibility.html

And just like Chomsky, Bernie Sanders provides an excellent real-life example of Ayn Rand's description of so-called humanitarians in her essay 'Collectivized Ethics'.   It is so easy to pretend to be a humanitarian, when it costs you nothing, and even profits you with political power via control over dull ignorant voters, while your sole course of action is to force the redistribution of the labor of others.   Someone else does the work, but you can take the credit — while a slavish and obsequious public praises you for 'caring solely about what is best for people'.

Here is a perfect demonstration of that slavish obsequious public — Sarah Silverman's comment in this video that Bernie is 'not for sale' is especially ironic, given that Bernie has spent his political career pandering to the ugly envies of the worst voters (again, not exactly what one would call independent) —
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvJ5vdIUksM

In closing, here is the relevant portion of Ayn Rand's essay 'Collectivized Ethics' again (this deserves to be re-read) --

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OvL1_89QDs
http://www.aynrand.org/novels/virtue-of-selfishness
...
Since nature does not guarantee automatic security, success and survival to any human being, it is only the dictatorial presumptuousness and the moral cannibalism of the altruist-collectivist code that permits a man to suppose (or idly to daydream) that he can somehow guarantee such security to some men at the expense of others.

If a man speculates on what “society” should do for the poor, he accepts thereby the collectivist premise that men’s lives belong to society and that he, as a member of society, has the right to dispose of them, to set their goals or to plan the “distribution” of their efforts.

This is the psychological confession implied in such questions and in many issues of the same kind.

At best, it reveals a man’s psycho-epistemological chaos; it reveals a fallacy which may be termed “the fallacy of the frozen abstraction” and which consists of substituting some one particular concrete for the wider abstract class to which it belongs—in this case, substituting a specific ethics (altruism) for the wider abstraction of “ethics.”  Thus, a man may reject the theory of altruism and assert that he has accepted a rational code—but, failing to integrate his ideas, he continues unthinkingly to approach ethical questions in terms established by altruism.

More often, however, that psychological confession reveals a deeper evil: it reveals the enormity of the extent to which altruism erodes men’s capacity to grasp the concept of rights or the value of an individual life; it reveals a mind from which the reality of a human being has been wiped out.

Humility and presumptuousness are always two sides of the same premise, and always share the task of filling the space vacated by self-esteem in a collectivized mentality.  The man who is willing to serve as the means to the ends of others, will necessarily regard others as the means to his ends.  The more neurotic he is or the more conscientious in the practice of altruism (and these two aspects of his psychology will act reciprocally to reinforce each other), the more he will tend to devise schemes “for the good of mankind” or of “society” or of “the public” or of “future generations” —or of anything except actual human beings.

Hence the appalling recklessness with which men propose, discuss and accept “humanitarian” projects which are to be imposed by political means, that is, by force, on an unlimited number of human beings.  If, according to collectivist caricatures, the greedy rich indulged in profligate material luxury, on the premise of “price no object”—then the social progress brought by today’s collectivized mentalities consists of indulging in altruistic political planning, on the premise of “human lives no object.”

The hallmark of such mentalities is the advocacy of some grand scale public goal, without regard to context, costs or means.  Out of context, such a goal can usually be shown to be desirable; it has to be public, because the costs are not to be earned, but to be expropriated; and a dense patch of venomous fog has to shroud the issue of means—because the means are to be human lives.

“Medicare” is an example of such a project.  “Isn’t it desirable that the aged should have medical care in times of illness?” its advocates clamor.  Considered out of context, the answer would be: yes, it is desirable.  Who would have a reason to say no?  And it is at this point that the mental processes of a collectivized brain are cut off; the rest is fog.  Only the desire remains in his sight—it’s the good, isn’t it?—it’s not for myself, it’s for others, it’s for the public, for a helpless, ailing public ... The fog hides such facts as the enslavement and, therefore, the destruction of medical science, the regimentation and disintegration of all medical practice, and the sacrifice of the professional integrity, the freedom, the careers, the ambitions, the achievements, the happiness, the lives of the very men who are to provide that “desirable” goal—the doctors.

After centuries of civilization, most men—with the exception of criminals—have learned that the above mental attitude is neither practical nor moral in their private lives and may not be applied to the achievement of their private goals.  There would be no controversy about the moral character of some young hoodlum who declared: “Isn’t it desirable to have a yacht, to live in a penthouse and to drink champagne?”—and stubbornly refused to consider the fact that he had robbed a bank and killed two guards to achieve that “desirable” goal.

There is no moral difference between these two examples; the number of beneficiaries does not change the nature of the action, it merely increases the number of victims.  In fact, the private hoodlum has a slight edge of moral superiority: he has no power to devastate an entire nation and his victims are not legally disarmed.

It is men’s views of their public or political existence that the collectivized ethics of altruism has protected from the march of civilization and has preserved as a reservoir, a wildlife sanctuary, ruled by the mores of prehistorical savagery.  If men have grasped some faint glimmer of respect for individual rights in their private dealings with one another, that glimmer vanishes when they turn to public issues—and what leaps into the political arena is a caveman who can’t conceive of any reason why the tribe may not bash in the skull of any individual if it so desires.
...


Saturday, November 14, 2015

Romanticizing Nature

In 2005, the documentary film entitled 'Grizzly Man' was released.  The documentary was written by Werner Herzog, and was produced largely with video footage shot by Timothy Treadwell.  The documentary profiles Timothy Treadwell, and his fascination with Alaskan brown bears, or grizzlies.

Timothy Treadwell and his girlfriend, Amie Huguenard, were killed and eaten in October 2003 by an Alaskan grizzly bear.

Here is a still image captured from some of the last video footage that Treadwell shot, which is included in Herzog's documentary, 'Grizzly Man'

Still from 'Grizzly Man', Grizzly stare


And here is a transcription of a portion of Werner Herzog's naration from 'Grizzly Man', where Herzog describes his overall impression of grizzly bear behavior documented in Timothy Treadwell's video footage of the Alaskan grizzlies, and, in particular, the stare of the grizzly captured from Treadwell's footage in the snapshot above —

... And what haunts me, is that in all the faces of all the bears that Treadwell ever filmed, I discover no kinship, no understanding, no mercy.  I see only the overwhelming indifference of nature.  To me, there is no such thing as a secret world of the bears.  And this blank stare speaks only of a half-bored interest in food.  But for Timothy Treadwell, this bear was a friend, a savior. ...


Here are two more still images captured from Treadwell's video footage, where Treadwell is within arms reach of one bear, while another bear is just out of the camera's view.  In the second shot you can see that Treadwell reaches out with his index finger and nearly touches the bear's nose

Still from 'Grizzly Man', Treadwell almost touching Grizzly (1) Still from 'Grizzly Man', Treadwell almost touching Grizzly (2)


Looking at the images above, do you think that bear is trying to decide if Timothy would make a good playmate, or whether Timothy is prey, and should be eaten as a good day's meal?

If you watch the actual sequence in 'Grizzly Man', Treadwell almost gives the impression that he is interacting with a couple of dog puppies, speaking in a kind of 'baby talk' voice.  Earlier in 'Grizzly Man', Treadwell openly discusses the danger of interacting with the bears, and that they will 'decapitate you', if you do not make them believe you are 'more powerful'

... If I show weakness, if I retreat, I may be hurt, I may be killed.  I must hold my own, if I'm gonna stay within this land.  For once there is weakness, they will exploit it, they will take me out, they will decaptitate me, they will chop me into bits and pieces.  I'm dead.  But so far, I persevere.  Most times I'm a kind warrior out here.
...
And in a sense you must be more powerful, if you are to survive in this land with the bear.  No one knew that.  No one ever friggin' knew that there are times when my life is on the precipice of death, and that these bears can bite, they can kill.  And if I am weak, I go down.  I love them with all my heart.  I will protect them.  I will die for them, but I will not die at their claws and paws.  I will fight.  I will be strong.  I will be one of them.  I will be ... the master.  But still a kind warrior. ...


It is tragically sad to hear Treadwell say those words in his video footage.  He gives the impression that he comprehends the danger, but at the same time he holds the deluded notion that he is in some kind of psychological game with the bears, and that he has the ability to manage and control the threat.

His words became prophetic, because he had no real understanding of how wrong he was.

Sunday, November 1, 2015

Tough People, Tougher Dogs

In 2010, the documentary film entitled 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga' was released.  The documentary was written by Werner Herzog and Dmitry Vasyukov, and was produced from television film work by Vasyukov.  The documentary depicts the life of the people in the village of Bakhta, along the Yenisei River in Siberia.

Dmitry Vasyukov had uploaded the video footage from the documentary to YouTube, but has since terminated that account.  This is the trailer for the documentary —



I found the self-reliance of the trappers portrayed in the documentary to be extremely impressive — in stark contrast to the typical urbanite of advanced nations, who thinks in terms of being dependent on government (even though they will never acknowledge their dependency, while simultaneously clamoring for it).

Here is a still image from Dmitry Vasyukov's video footage, showing Anatoly Blume doing some maintenance work to one of his trapping huts, in preparation for the journey back to Bakhta, since it was supposedly a rather mild winter day, at only -33 ° C below 0

Still from 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga', Anatoly working on trapping hut


And here is a sequence of still images from the same video footage, which show Anatoly Blume during the journey of approximately 160 kilometers (about 100 miles) back to Bakhta from the Siberian wilderness where he traps, while his dog runs the entire distance trailing him on his snowmobile.  The dog runs the entire day (however short, due to the winter season), and still shows no signs of tiring in the night footage shot as they approach Bakhta, or even when they arrive home.  Amazing.   How many people could even make that journey on a snowmobile, with the temperature at -33 ° C, never mind running the entire 100 mile distance non-stop? —

Still from 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga', dog running 150 km, with trapper (1) Still from 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga', dog running 150 km, with trapper (2) Still from 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga', dog running 150 km, with trapper (3) Still from 'Happy People: A Year in the Taiga', dog running 150 km, with trapper (4)


Saturday, October 24, 2015

John Howard's Lie

John Howard was the 25th Prime Minister of Australia, serving from March 1996 to December 2007.

On April 28, 1996, six weeks after Howard was elected Prime Minister of Australia, Martin Bryant shot and killed 35 people and wounded 23 others, at Port Arthur, Tasmania.

Soon after that shooting, the Australian government under Howard, passed the 'National Firearms Agreement', which included Australia's 1996 gun buyback program, which was reported to cost about $500 million taxpayer dollars, with $340 million going to gun owners, in compensation for surrendering the firearms banned by the new law —
     http://archive.is/eG33a
     https://www.anao.gov.au/sites/g/files/net616/f/anao_report_1997-98_25.pdf,   http://archive.is/vS8rj (p. 7)
     https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_buyback_program#Australia
     https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_laws_in_Australia#Port_Arthur_massacre_and_its_consequences

In two previous posts I pointed out that the Australian gun buyback had no impact in saving lives.  Gun homicides in Australia decreased after the ban, but were already decreasing years before the buyback started in 1996.  And gun suicides in Australia started a long steady downtrend from almost 10 years prior in 1986, but the overall suicide rate in Australia actually increased after the gun buyback began in 1996, because the non-firearm suicide rate was increasing, and Australians do not normally use a gun to commit suicide —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2014/06/prohibitions-or-pretending-human-nature.html
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2015/10/you-have-to-lie-to-support-gun-control.html

Here is a study from October 2006, by two Australian academics, Jeanine Baker and Samara McPhedran, entitled 'GUN LAWS AND SUDDEN DEATH, Did the Australian Firearms Legislation of 1996 Make a Difference?', which documents these same points.

Included below are two charts from the Baker/McPhedran study, showing the Australian suicide and homicide rates for the 93 year period from 1910 to 2003.  Notice that the Port Arthur shootings created an outlier in the historical trend, just as other incidents had in previous years.

Baker/McPhedran point out that retaining outliers (like the homicide count from the 1996 Port Arthur Massacre) artificially elevates the changes in the homicide rate in the time series data, and that the 1996 data point should be thrown out for the purposes of evaluating the effect of Australia's NFA — not to mention that the gun buyback was not even completed until 1997.  But they did not eliminate the 1996 homicide count from their study to avoid the appearance of bias.

I added the red 'Port Arthur Shooting' label to the chart below to make that data point more obvious (the label was not on the original chart in the study) —

https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/40534/1/MPRA_paper_40534.pdf
http://armsandthelaw.com/archives/GunLawsSudden%20DeathBJC.pdf
http://moveleft.org/dog_ban/br_j_criminology_2006_.pdf
http://archive.is/uZCg4

Australian Suicide/Homicide Rates, 1910-2003, Baker, McPhedran study

GUN LAWS AND SUDDEN DEATH
Did the Australian Firearms Legislation of 1996 Make a Difference?
Jeanine Baker and Samara McPhedran
...
Methods
...
A methodological caution is necessary.  In 1996, the firearm homicide rate was high due to the murder of 35 people in one shooting event.  As a consequence, mistakenly using 1996, rather than 1997, as a start point for evaluating changes in the rate of firearm deaths post-NFA would alter the conclusions drawn.  Likewise, the retention of the 1996-elevated figure, along with outliers identified in firearm homicide, artificially elevates the change in rates for the pre-NFA time series.  This has important implications for future investigations and it is recommended that subsequent research into the impacts of firearms legislation take into account the importance of screening for outliers and using appropriate, consistent grouping methods.

Outliers in this study were identified using the ARIMA residual values calculated from examining the data from 1979 to 2004 for each sudden death category.  Years in which the residual values differed from the mean residual value by more than twice the standard deviation were assumed to be outliers (Table 1).  However, given the polarization that can occur in the debate about firearm legislation, outliers in this study were not eliminated lest such actions be construed as being used in order to make the argument that the NFA failed to influence sudden death by firearm even more compelling.
...

Conclusions
Examination of the long-term trends indicated that the only category of sudden death that may have been influenced by the introduction of the NFA was firearm suicide.  However, this effect must be considered in light of the findings for suicide (non-firearm).  Homicide patterns (firearm and non-firearm) were not influenced by the NFA, the conclusion being that the gun buy-back and restrictive legislative changes had no influence on firearm homicide in Australia.  The introduction of the NFA appeared to have a negative effect on accidental firearm death.  However, over the time period investigated, there was a relatively small number of accidental deaths per annum, with substantial variability.  Any conclusions regarding the effect of the NFA on accidental firearm death should be approached with caution.
...

However, the NFA was not only directed at buying back semi-automatic longarms and pump action shotguns, despite 643,726 firearms being handed in for destruction.  Additional legislation introduced concurrently across Australia as part of the NFA related to tightening the criteria for ‘genuine need’ and purpose of use, enforcing safe storage of firearms and ammunition, and mandatory training and reporting.  Thus, the efficacy of these additional restrictions should also be considered in light of policies designed to reduce overall firearm deaths in one or more of the sudden death categories.  Examination of the sudden death categories presented here indicates that evidence for such overall reductions is tenuous at best, with only firearm suicide rates post-NFA being significantly different from those predicted from the observed rates.

However, suicide rates by firearm pre- and post-NFA both showed decline.  Without considering the general trends in suicide within Australia for this time period, the conclusion would have been that the 1996 NFA had succeeded in lowering firearm suicide rates.  However, immediately following the NFA, suicide (non-firearm) increased.  This would suggest that there may have been an initial period during which method substitution occurred, although it seems improbable that a buy-back focusing on semi-automatic longarms and pump action shotguns would prevent access to firearms for anyone intent on suicide.  It is possible that the increased scrutiny of licence applicants and the necessity for safe storage would cause those considering acquiring a firearm to attempt suicide to evaluate other methods and may subsequently have led some individuals to seek alternative methods of suicide recognized as approximately as lethal as firearms (particularly, hanging).
...


Quoted below is an article at nytimes.com, from January 2013 (written 7 years after the Baker/McPhedran study quoted above), by the former Prime Minister of Australia, John Howard, entitled 'I Went After Guns. Obama Can, Too.'.

Of course, it is not surprising that Howard would pretend that legislation he championed has been responsible for saving many lives, even though there is no indication that this is true.  And notice that Howard made no attempt to hide his view that the citizens of Australia should be subordinated to bureaucrats such as himself when he wrote —
       http://archive.is/4h0Xi
Australia, correctly in my view, does not have a Bill of Rights, so our legislatures have more say than America’s over many issues of individual rights, and our courts have less control.
And anyone who believes that someone like Barack Obama or the U.S. Congress — or any government bureaucrat for that matter — needs encouragement to violate individual rights, is not paying attention.

John Howard closes his ridiculous article by pretending that there is now wide consensus that Australia's 'National Firearms Agreement' reduced both gun-related homicide and suicide rates.  He also wrote that gun-related murders and suicides fell sharply after 1996.  And so they did — just like they were falling years before the buyback.  And, of course, gun-related murders fell dramatically the moment the Port Arthur Massacre ended, since that Massacre accounted for over 35% of the homicides that year (35 of 99 total, Baker/McPhedran).

That is, the Port Arthur Massacre was an extreme anomaly.  One has to go all the way back to 1928 and the Coniston Massacre, to find an incident in Australia where the homicide count from a massacre was higher than that of the Port Arthur massacre in 1996 — and the Coniston Massacre involved a dispute with indigenous Australians (it was not a shooting rampage by a lone gunman).  If the death count from the Port Arthur massacre had been no higher than the highest among the 13 that John Howard mentioned at the close of his article (8), the firearm homicide rate in Australia would have gone up slightly after the NFA gun buyback.

In 1997 Australia's total firearm homicide count was 75 — so if 8 is used for the Port Arthur homicide count (the highest homicide count in the 13 prior massacres from 1996 back to 1978), giving a total of 72 firearm homicides in 1996, Australia's firearm homicide rate actually increased immediately after the gun buyback.  Here is how Australia's homicides rates compare in 1997, when the Port Arthur homicides are reduced in the 1996 homicide count —
  • 1996 Population = 18,310,714, Firearm Homicides = 99 : rate 0.541 per/100,000 (original total)
  • 1996 Population = 18,310,714, Firearm Homicides = 72 : rate 0.393 per/100,000 (less 27 Port Arthur homicides)
  • 1997 Population = 18,517,564, Firearm Homicides = 75 : rate 0.405 per/100,000
The point here is not that we should just be able to ignore any large homicide count — the point is, that this claim that Australia's NFA 'reduced the gun-related homicide rate', as John Howard states below in his article, depends on the assumption that the completely anomalous death count from the Port Arthur Massacre was eliminated by the new legislation — but it is hard to find an event like the Port Arthur Massacre anywhere in Australia's history, so there was never a reason to expect such a massacre to happen again by 2013 (when John Howard wrote his article), if ever, even if the Australian government made no changes to their laws after the Port Arthur Massacre.

In short, the claim that a massacre resembling Port Arthur would have happened again had Australia's NFA not been passed is obviously false, since the Port Arthur Massacre was such a rare event.  In that regard, consider this quote from the study, 'Australia: A Massive Buy back of Low-Risk Guns' [emphasis added] —
      http://archive.is/fbrPW
...
Homicides continued a modest decline; taking into account the one-time effect of the Port Arthur massacre itself, the share of murders committed with firearms declined sharply.  Other violent crime, such as armed robbery, continued to increase, but again with fewer incidents that involved firearms.  This relatively small effect is hardly surprising given that the type of firearms prohibited had not previously been used frequently in crime or suicide, as well as the low power of the potential tests, with less than five years of postban data.  However, the principal goal of the intervention was ending the mass murders; in the five years since the buyback, there has been a modest reduction in the severity of these murders, and none have involved firearms, though the frequency of these events is so low that not much can be inferred from this occurrence.
...
Well, of course — no one should have expected much of an affect from Australia's NFA and its gun buyback, because the guns that were banned and purchased were not used to commit crimes or suicide to begin with.

And do not forget that Australia's overall suicide rate increased immediately after the gun buyback, since committing suicide with a firearm has never been the preferred method in Australia.  And the firearm suicide rate was in a downtrend for almost 10 years before the NFA was enacted — as clearly shown by the chart included above from the Baker/McPhedran study.  So unless you think that somehow everyone is better off, as long as people commit suicide without using a firearm, saying Australia's NFA reduced firearm suicides is meaningless.  Obviously, only the total number of suicides is important.

Of course, those who wish to pretend that they are champions of morality and saving human lives, will never stop pretending that the restrictions they create (like Australia's NFA) are an unqualified positive, regardless of how much they must misrepresent the evidence to defend that view.


http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/17/opinion/australia-banned-assault-weapons-america-can-too.html
http://archive.is/4h0Xi

I Went After Guns. Obama Can, Too.
By John Howard   JAN. 16, 2013
SYDNEY, Australia

IT is for Americans and their elected representatives to determine the right response to President Obama’s proposals on gun control.  I wouldn’t presume to lecture Americans on the subject.  I can, however, describe what I, as prime minister of Australia, did to curb gun violence following a horrific massacre 17 years ago in the hope that it will contribute constructively to the debate in the United States.

I was elected prime minister in early 1996, leading a center-right coalition.  Virtually every nonurban electoral district in the country — where gun ownership was higher than elsewhere — sent a member of my coalition to Parliament.

Six weeks later, on April 28, 1996, Martin Bryant, a psychologically disturbed man, used a semiautomatic Armalite rifle and a semiautomatic SKS assault weapon to kill 35 people in a murderous rampage in Port Arthur, Tasmania.

After this wanton slaughter, I knew that I had to use the authority of my office to curb the possession and use of the type of weapons that killed 35 innocent people.  I also knew it wouldn’t be easy.

Our challenges were different from America’s.  Australia is an even more intensely urban society, with close to 60 percent of our people living in large cities.  Our gun lobby isn’t as powerful or well-financed as the National Rifle Association in the United States.  Australia, correctly in my view, does not have a Bill of Rights, so our legislatures have more say than America’s over many issues of individual rights, and our courts have less control.  Also, we have no constitutional right to bear arms.  (After all, the British granted us nationhood peacefully; the United States had to fight for it.)

Because Australia is a federation of states, the national government has no control over gun ownership, sale or use, beyond controlling imports.  Given our decentralized system of government, I could reduce the number of dangerous firearms only by persuading the states to enact uniform laws totally prohibiting the ownership, possession and sale of all automatic and semiautomatic weapons while the national government banned the importation of such weapons.

To make this plan work, there had to be a federally financed gun buyback scheme.  Ultimately, the cost of the buyback was met by a special one-off tax imposed on all Australians.  This required new legislation and was widely accepted across the political spectrum.  Almost 700,000 guns were bought back and destroyed — the equivalent of 40 million guns in the United States.

City dwellers supported our plan, but there was strong resistance by some in rural Australia.  Many farmers resented being told to surrender weapons they had used safely all of their lives.  Penalizing decent, law-abiding citizens because of the criminal behavior of others seemed unfair.  Many of them had been lifelong supporters of my coalition and felt bewildered and betrayed by these new laws.  I understood their misgivings.  Yet I felt there was no alternative.

The fundamental problem was the ready availability of high-powered weapons, which enabled people to convert their murderous impulses into mass killing.  Certainly, shortcomings in treating mental illness and the harmful influence of violent video games and movies may have played a role.  But nothing trumps easy access to a gun.  It is easier to kill 10 people with a gun than with a knife.

Passing gun-control laws was a major challenge for my coalition partner: the rural, conservative National Party.  All of its members held seats in nonurban areas.  It was also very hard for the state government of Queensland, in Australia’s northeast, where the National Party was dominant, and where the majority of the population was rural.

The leaders of the National Party, as well as the premier of Queensland, courageously supported my government’s decision, despite the electoral pain it caused them.  Within a year, a new populist and conservative political party, the One Nation Party, emerged and took many votes from our coalition in subsequent state and federal elections; one of its key policies was the reversal of the gun laws.

For a time, it seemed that certain states might refuse to enact the ban.  But I made clear that my government was willing to hold a nationwide referendum to alter the Australian Constitution and give the federal government constitutional power over guns.  Such a referendum would have been expensive and divisive, but it would have passed.  And all state governments knew this.

In the end, we won the battle to change gun laws because there was majority support across Australia for banning certain weapons.  And today, there is a wide consensus that our 1996 reforms not only reduced the gun-related homicide rate, but also the suicide rate.  The Australian Institute of Criminology found that gun-related murders and suicides fell sharply after 1996.  The American Law and Economics Review found that our gun buyback scheme cut firearm suicides by 74 percent.  In the 18 years before the 1996 reforms, Australia suffered 13 gun massacres — each with more than four victims — causing a total of 102 deaths.  There has not been a single massacre in that category since 1996.

Few Australians would deny that their country is safer today as a consequence of gun control.



Sunday, October 18, 2015

You Have To Lie To Support Gun Control

In a previous post, I wrote about the ridiculous premise that human behavior could be suddenly and dramatically changed by some new piece of legislation passed by a particular government —
     http://maxautonomy.blogspot.com/2014/06/prohibitions-or-pretending-human-nature.html

It is absolutely bizarre how people will enter into discussions over and over again about some piece of legislation, as if somehow, magically, that legislation will dramatically reduce, or completely eliminate, some undesirable human behavior.

As an obvious example, that post used Australia's gun buyback program, which was instituted as part of Australia's 'National Firearms Agreement' in 1996 (https://archive.is/eG33a).

Since the Australian legislation had no impact in saving lives — gun homicides decreased after the ban, but were already in a steady downtrend from years before, and the overall suicide rate increased immediately after the ban — the Australian gun buyback should have ended the debate about the effectiveness of gun control.  But since people are so determined to pretend that their lazy, knee-jerk reactions are so helpful, and that one can be a social benefactor simply by supporting some poorly thought out set of rules, now we see ridiculous repetitious references to Australian gun laws, as if they were an overwhelming success
     http://archive.is/FMofP

It needs to be stressed (repeatedly), that one does not need to engage in a long study, collecting data and performing an intensive statistical analysis, to know that prohibitions of any kind do not work.  That a prohibition for a particular activity would be considered at all, means that people are not likely to be deterred from that activity.  Of course, we all know this — we all know that law, in and of itself, does nothing to constrain human behavior.  That is why we see an endless stream of violations of existing laws, including those laws with extreme penalties — e.g. the prohibition of murder.

This is what is so absurd about the gun control debate in general — every discussion contains the absolutely insane assumption that an individual who is willing to commit murder, would weigh a list of prohibitions in some piece of gun legislation — e.g. on magazine sizes, or particular gun types, etc.

Do people honestly believe that an individual who is planning a mass murder, would somehow be restrained by some set of laws that restrict how the murder is committed?   What reasonable person would make such an idiotic claim, when the whole point of such extreme actions is to commit a shocking, newsworthy crime?

And here are two more questions regarding Australia's gun buyback (or any similar gun prohibition) —
  1. Since we know that some people will always violate existing laws, however reasonable, how many people did not turn in prohibited weapons?
  2. And of those who did not turn them in, are they more, or less likely to commit a murder, or sell the weapon to one who would commit a murder?
The point of those two questions should be obvious.  Even though no one can know the answer to question #1 (since criminals do not voluntarily report their criminal activity), the number of prohibited weapons that were not turned in and destroyed is certainly greater than zero, and those individuals who did comply with the law were not the risk factor — i.e. they were law abiding.  So there is one thing we do know conclusivelyevery gun prohibition tips the balance of power in favor of the criminal who does not follow the law.   There is no insight here, and it is sad that this obvious point is in such desperate need of being repeated — law only restricts the law abiding, and so more law only empowers criminals.

Here are two charts from GunPolicy.org, which show the overall suicide and homicide rates (regardless of method) in Australia from about 1990 through 2012.  Notice that the suicide rate increased after the ban, and did not drop below the low it reached before the ban in 1993, until 2003.  And notice that the overall homicide rate barely changed from 1990 to 2000 (Australia's homicide rate was already very low) — both the firearm suicide and homicide rates were dropping, but people were simply switching to other methods --

http://www.gunpolicy.org/firearms/compareyears/10/rate_of_suicide_any_method
http://archive.is/JjzhF

GunPolicy.org, Australia Suicide Rate per 100,000, 1988-2012

http://www.gunpolicy.org/firearms/compareyears/10/rate_of_homicide_any_method
http://archive.is/OwSk8

GunPolicy.org, Australia Homicide Rate per 100,000, 1990-2012



Here is a chart from the 'Australian Institute of Criminology', from their 2012 collection of data, which I also included in my previous post from June of last year.  This chart shows how stable and low Australia's homicide counts have been — again, there wasn't a sudden drop after 1996 (the count went up, along with population, so the rate went down slightly) --

https://aic.gov.au/publications/facts/2012
https://archive.is/7cLiN

Australian Institute of Criminology, Australia Homicide Victims, 1993-2011



And here is a page from a widely cited paper from June 2010, by Andrew Leigh and Christine Neill, regarding the 1996 gun buy back in Australia, 'Do Gun Buybacks Save Lives? Evidence from Panel Data'As I explained in my previous post from last year, the authors of this paper have an obvious agenda, since the data the authors chart does not support their conclusion.  That is, both suicide and homicide rates with firearms were in steady downtrends when Australia's gun buyback began in 1996, and those trends did not change in response to the buyback.  And both non-firearm suicides and homicides increased immediately after the ban — the overall suicide rate actually increased, as shown by the GunPolicy.org chart above, and the overall homicide rate dropped only slightly.   These graphs from the Leigh/Neill paper show the rate of suicides and homicides for firearms vs. non-firearms using 'Australian Bureau of Statistics' data --

http://andrewleigh.org/pdf/GunBuyback_Panel.pdf
http://ftp.iza.org/dp4995.pdf
http://archive.is/fWNHw
Leigh/Neill, Do Gun Buybacks Save Lives? Suicide/Homicide Rates, 1968-2006



Here is the conclusion from that paper — which is obviously false, given that the overall suicide rate increased, while the overall homicide rate barely changed --

http://andrewleigh.org/pdf/GunBuyback_Panel.pdf
http://ftp.iza.org/dp4995.pdf
http://archive.is/fWNHw
In 1997, Australia implemented a gun buyback program that reduced the stock of firearms by around one-fifth. Using differences across states in the number of firearms withdrawn, we test whether the reduction in firearms availability affected firearm homicide and suicide rates.  We find that the buyback led to a drop in the firearm suicide rates of almost 80 per cent, with no statistically significant effect on non-firearm death rates. The estimated effect on firearm homicides is of similar magnitude, but is less precise. The results are robust to a variety of specification checks, and to instrumenting the state-level buyback rate.


Well, if the firearm suicide rate dropped by 'almost 80 per cent, with no statistically significant effect on non-firearm death rates', and the 'estimated effect on firearm homicides is of similar magnitude', how did the overall suicide rate increase, and the overall homicide rate remain basically unchanged?

The conclusion quoted above from the Leigh/Neill paper becomes absurd on its face when one considers that the 1996 Australian gun buyback only applied to certain kinds of rifles, so the new law had no effect on the ability of Australians to commit suicide with a firearm.  It is a total non-sequitur to claim that Australia's 'National Firearms Agreement' would affect firearms suicides, unless you believe that law-abiding Australians had some bizarre penchant for committing suicide with the rifles included in the ban.  And if you look carefully at the scales in the chart above from the Leigh/Neill paper, you'll notice that non-firearm suicides dominate the overall suicide rate.  That is why the overall suicide rate could increase while the firearm suicide rate was in a steady downtrend — Australians have not been prone to committing suicide with a firearm.

It is impossible to look at this data and think that Australia's gun buyback did anything, because nothing that was happening after the gun buyback was not happening before.  Australian taxpayers should be livid, since the Australian government supposedly spent about $500 million on the gun buyback, with $340 million of that going to purchase banned firearms —
     http://archive.is/Y5YfH
     https://www.anao.gov.au/sites/g/files/net616/f/anao_report_1997-98_25.pdf
     https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_buyback_program#Australia
     https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_laws_in_Australia#Port_Arthur_massacre_and_its_consequences

If only such difficult problems of human nature could be solved by passing such simple rules.